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U.S. yields sink amid dovish Fed signals; HK stocks slip on COVID concerns

Friday, November 25, 2022
U.S. yields sink amid dovish Fed signals; HK stocks slip on COVID concerns © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A man wearing a protective mask, amid the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak, walks past an electronic board displaying various countries' stock indexes including Russian Trading System (RTS) Index which is empty, outside a brokerage in
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By Kevin Buckland

TOKYO (Reuters) - U.S. long-term Treasury yields sank to a more than seven-week trough on Friday while the dollar drooped near recent lows against other major currencies peers as markets continued to digest dovish signals from the Federal Reserve.

Expectations of a less aggressive pace of U.S. monetary tightening from as soon as next month continued to support some stock markets in Asia, but Hong Kong's Hang Seng dropped sharply as record COVID-19 infections in China dimmed the outlook.

The 10-year Treasury yield dipped to 3.659%, the lowest since Oct. 5 in Tokyo trading, after Thursday's U.S. Thanksgiving holiday. The two-year yield slipped to a one-week bottom at 4.44%.

The dollar index, which measures the greenback against the euro, yen and four other rivals, hovered not far from Thursday's low of 105.62, and last stood at 105.86.

A "substantial majority" of Fed policymakers had agreed it would "likely soon be appropriate" to slow the pace of interest rate rises, minutes of their latest meeting showed on Wednesday.

Futures markets show investors now see U.S. rates peaking just above 5% around May, and are pricing in roughly two-thirds odds that the Fed slows to a half-point hike on Dec. 14 from a string of 75-basis-point increases.

"Having seen the way the market has reacted - equities rally, bond yields fall and the dollar weakens - if I was the Fed, I'd be thinking I had better go and say something really hawkish now, because otherwise the last 75 basis points of tightening I've done are basically pointless, and the next 50 are just going to be swallowed up by the market going, 'Don't worry about it, the pivot is coming'," said ING economist Rob Carnell.

"You want your rate hikes to mean something, so I think once everyone has digested their turkey and gotten back to work - probably early next week - we're going to hear some pretty hawkish stuff coming out of the Fed."

U.S. S&P 500 E-mini futures pointed 0.2% higher for the restart of Wall Street trading on Friday.

Asia-Pacific share markets were mixed, with Australia's benchmark managing a 0.35% rise, but a tech-led selloff in Hong Kong shares weighing on sentiment in other parts of the region.

The Hang Seng dropped 0.93%, with the tech sector tumbling 2.22%.

Japan's Nikkei slumped 0.34% and South Korea's Kospi lost 0.31%.

China reported record high COVID infections on Thursday, with cities nationwide imposing localised lockdowns, mass testing and other curbs, snuffing out recent optimism about the world's second largest economy moving from strict zero-COVID policies to living with the disease.

"Investors are right to be worried," said ING's Carnell. "They still in China don't have the adequate health network that they would be able to deal with a full-on outbreak with lots of people getting sick."

Mainland Chinese blue chips, though, rose 0.51%, buoyed by government measures to support the real estate market. An index of property developer shares surged 5.33%.

Oil rose slightly, paring a little of this week's losses, which have been driven by worries about Chinese demand and expectations a high price cap planned by the Group of Seven nations on Russian oil will keep supply flowing. [O/R]

Brent crude futures inched up 13 cents, or 0.2%, to $85.47 a barrel.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures jumped 35 cents, or 0.5%, from Wednesday's close to $78.32 a barrel. There was no WTI settlement on Thursday due to the U.S. holiday.

Both contracts were headed for their third consecutive weekly decline, on track to fall about 2%.

Gold ticked 0.2% higher to $1,758.44 an ounce amid dollar weakness.

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28-11-2022 12:46:51 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0353

-0.0042 (-0.40%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

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Sell (7)

EUR/USD

1.0353

-0.0042 (-0.40%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

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Sell (7)

GBP/USD

1.2050

-0.0043 (-0.36%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (4)

USD/JPY

138.46

-0.63 (-0.46%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

AUD/USD

0.6680

-0.0069 (-1.01%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

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USD/CAD

1.3454

+0.0077 (+0.58%)

Summary

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EUR/JPY

143.35

-1.24 (-0.85%)

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EUR/CHF

0.9800

-0.0027 (-0.27%)

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Neutral

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Gold Futures

1,749.10

-4.90 (-0.28%)

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Silver Futures

21.215

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Copper Futures

3.5540

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Crude Oil WTI Futures

74.00

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81.24

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US Coffee C Futures

164.40

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Euro Stoxx 50

3,962.41

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S&P 500

4,026.12

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Neutral

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+6.37 (+0.34%)

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55.45

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Adidas AG

123.98

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7.567

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132.06

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10.390

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    EUR/USD 1.0353 ↑ Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.2050 ↑ Sell  
    USD/JPY 138.46 Sell  
    AUD/USD 0.6680 ↑ Sell  
    USD/CAD 1.3454 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 143.35 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/CHF 0.9800 Neutral  
    Gold 1,749.10 Neutral  
    Silver 21.215 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 3.5540 ↑ Sell  
    Crude Oil WTI 74.00 Buy  
    Brent Oil 81.24 ↑ Sell  
    Natural Gas 7.188 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 164.40 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 3,962.41 ↑ Buy  
    S&P 500 4,026.12 Neutral  
    DAX 14,541.38 ↑ Buy  
    FTSE 100 7,486.67 ↑ Buy  
    Hang Seng 17,165.00 Neutral  
    Small Cap 2000 1,869.19 ↑ Buy  
    IBEX 35 8,416.60 Sell  
    BASF 49.605 Neutral  
    Bayer 55.45 Sell  
    Allianz 205.35 ↑ Buy  
    Adidas 123.98 Neutral  
    Lufthansa 7.567 ↑ Sell  
    Siemens AG 132.06 ↑ Buy  
    Deutsche Bank AG 10.390 ↑ Buy  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,640/ 6,710
(6,640/ 6,710) # 1,470
SJC HCM6,655/ 6,735
(-5/ -25) # 1,497
SJC Hanoi6,655/ 6,737
(-5/ -25) # 1,499
SJC Danang6,655/ 6,737
(-5/ -25) # 1,499
SJC Nhatrang6,655/ 6,737
(-5/ -25) # 1,499
SJC Cantho6,655/ 6,737
(-5/ -25) # 1,499
Cập nhật 28-11-2022 12:46:53
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ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$1,750.20 -0.75 -0.04%
Live 24 hour Gold Chart
ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu
Sản phẩm Vùng 1 Vùng 2
RON 95-V24.91025.400
RON 95-III23.78024.250
E5 RON 92-II22.67023.120
DO 0.05S24.80025.290
DO 0,001S-V26.78027.310
Dầu hỏa 2-K24.64025.130
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI $74.01 +2.1 2.76%
Brent $81.18 +2.66 3.27%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD24.580,0024.850,00
EUR24.959,9426.355,23
GBP29.041,9330.277,62
JPY173,62183,79
KRW15,9719,46
Cập nhật lúc 12:12:23 28/11/2022
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