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U.S. dollar net longs hit highest since early March 2020 - CFTC, Reuters estimate

By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss NEW YORK (Reuters) - U.S. dollar net longs rose in the latest week to their highest since early March last year, according to Reuters calculations and...
U.S. dollar net longs hit highest since early March 2020 - CFTC, Reuters estimate © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A U.S. dollar banknote is seen in this illustration taken May 26, 2020. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration

By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss

NEW YORK (Reuters) - U.S. dollar net longs rose in the latest week to their highest since early March last year, according to Reuters calculations and Commodity Futures Trading Commission data released on Friday.

The value of the net long dollar position climbed to $3.08 billion in the week ended Aug. 10, from net longs of $2.11 billion the previous week. U.S. dollar positioning has been net long for four straight weeks after staying net short for 16 months.

U.S. dollar positioning was derived from net contracts of International Monetary Market speculators in the Japanese yen, euro, British pound and Swiss franc, as well as the Canadian and Australian dollars.

In a wider measure of dollar positioning that includes net contracts on the New Zealand dollar, Mexican peso, Brazilian real and Russian ruble, the greenback posted a net long position of $2.993 billion this week, compared with net shorts of $1.92 billion the week before.

"Speculative traders have held a modest, aggregate U.S. dollar long position for a month now, but positioning remains rather light and somewhat non-committal," wrote Shaun Osborne, chief FX strategist, at Scotiabank in a note after the CFTC data.

"This may reflect light trading conditions through the northern hemisphere summer or a desire to wait for more evidence in support of building U.S. dollar longs further. Either way, there is clearly some room for the position to grow."

The dollar has gained about 0.4% over the last two weeks, bolstered by safe-have bids arising out of nagging worries about the Delta coronavirus variant and growing expectations that the Federal Reserve is getting ready to announce a tapering of its asset purchases soon.

A reduction in the Fed's asset purchases is viewed as a step toward a tighter monetary policy and is considered a positive scenario for the dollar.

In the cryptocurrency market, bitcoin net shorts fell to 1,104 contracts in the week ended Aug. 10, from net shorts of 1,290 the previous week. This week's bitcoin shorts were the smallest since mid-May.

Bitcoin has made a recovery the last two weeks, hitting just shy of $48,000 on Friday, its highest since mid-May, after months of sluggish performance. Bitcoin has surged more than 50% from its July 20 low.

A wave of global regulatory crackdown on the crypto sector has weighed on bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies this year. Since hitting an all-time high of just under $65,000 in mid-April, bitcoin has fallen about 32%.

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01-05-2024 10:45:17 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0658

-0.0008 (-0.07%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

EUR/USD

1.0658

-0.0008 (-0.07%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

GBP/USD

1.2475

-0.0015 (-0.12%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

USD/JPY

157.91

+0.12 (+0.07%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

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AUD/USD

0.6469

-0.0003 (-0.05%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

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USD/CAD

1.3780

+0.0003 (+0.03%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

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Indicators:

Buy (7)

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EUR/JPY

168.32

+0.10 (+0.06%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Buy (9)

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EUR/CHF

0.9808

+0.0001 (+0.01%)

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Neutral

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Buy (3)

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Gold Futures

2,295.80

-7.10 (-0.31%)

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Silver Futures

26.677

+0.023 (+0.09%)

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Copper Futures

4.5305

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Crude Oil WTI Futures

81.14

-0.79 (-0.96%)

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Brent Oil Futures

85.62

-0.71 (-0.82%)

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Natural Gas Futures

1.946

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US Coffee C Futures

213.73

-13.77 (-6.05%)

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Euro Stoxx 50

4,920.55

-60.54 (-1.22%)

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S&P 500

5,035.69

-80.48 (-1.57%)

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DAX

17,921.95

-196.37 (-1.08%)

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FTSE 100

8,144.13

-2.90 (-0.04%)

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Sell

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Hang Seng

17,763.03

+16.12 (+0.09%)

Summary

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Moving Avg:

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Sell (12)

Indicators:

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Sell (6)

US Small Cap 2000

1,973.05

-42.98 (-2.13%)

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Moving Avg:

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Sell (12)

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IBEX 35

10,854.40

-246.40 (-2.22%)

Summary

Neutral

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BASF SE NA O.N.

49.155

+0.100 (+0.20%)

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Bayer AG NA

27.35

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Allianz SE VNA O.N.

266.60

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Adidas AG

226.40

-5.90 (-2.54%)

Summary

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Indicators:

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Deutsche Lufthansa AG

6.714

-0.028 (-0.42%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

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Siemens AG Class N

175.90

-1.74 (-0.98%)

Summary

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Deutsche Bank AG

15.010

-0.094 (-0.62%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

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Indicators:

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Sell (2)

 EUR/USD1.0658↑ Sell
 GBP/USD1.2475↑ Sell
 USD/JPY157.91↑ Buy
 AUD/USD0.6469Neutral
 USD/CAD1.3780↑ Buy
 EUR/JPY168.32↑ Buy
 EUR/CHF0.9808Neutral
 Gold2,295.80↑ Sell
 Silver26.677↑ Sell
 Copper4.5305↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI81.14↑ Sell
 Brent Oil85.62↑ Sell
 Natural Gas1.946↑ Sell
 US Coffee C213.73↑ Sell
 Euro Stoxx 504,920.55↑ Sell
 S&P 5005,035.69↑ Sell
 DAX17,921.95↑ Sell
 FTSE 1008,144.13Sell
 Hang Seng17,763.03↑ Sell
 Small Cap 20001,973.05↑ Sell
 IBEX 3510,854.40Neutral
 BASF49.155↑ Sell
 Bayer27.35↑ Sell
 Allianz266.60↑ Sell
 Adidas226.40↑ Sell
 Lufthansa6.714Neutral
 Siemens AG175.90↑ Sell
 Deutsche Bank AG15.010Neutral
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