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Take Five: Everything to play for

25 Tháng Mười Một 2022
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LONDON (Reuters) - The final month of the year is almost here but there's no time yet to slow down, with latest U.S. jobs numbers and euro zone inflation data coming up.

And don't forget the turbulence in crypto land, growing concern about China's economic outlook given a COVID-19 resurgence and speculation in the soccer world (that goes beyond predicting the World Cup winner).

Here's a look at the week ahead in markets from Saqib Iqbal Ahmed in New York, Vidya Ranganathan in Singapore, and Alun John, Marc Jones and Dhara Ranasinghe in London.

1/ ANOTHER JOBS SURPRISE?

Markets are hopeful the Federal Reserve will soon slow the pace of its aggressive rate hikes. Friday's November jobs data could put that expectation to the test.

The U.S. economy likely created 200,000 new jobs, a Reuters poll of economists forecasts found, in what would be the smallest gain since December 2020. Estimates ranged from 150,000 to 240,000.

A higher-than-expected 261,000 new jobs were created in October, even as the pace of job growth slowed and the unemployment rate rose to 3.7%, suggesting some loosening in labor market conditions.Still, five of the last six jobs reports have topped consensus estimates and another strong number could spell trouble for U.S. stocks, cooling the S&P 500's 12% rally since mid October. The dollar, weakened by expectations that rates could soon peak, may head higher.

Graphic: U.S. non-farm payrolls - https://graphics.reuters.com/MARKETS-GLOBAL/THEMES/byvrljerxve/chart1.png

2/ FEVERISH ANTICIPATION

A record number of COVID-19 infections and new lockdowns across China have dampened hopes of a reopening of the world's No.2 economy in the first quarter of 2023.

There are, however, other reasons to be hopeful. Regulators have announced a plan to prop up an ailing property sector, and four people with direct knowledge told Reuters China's central bank will offer cheap loans to financial firms to buy bonds issued by property developers.

The authorities also look set to impose a fine of more than $1 billion on Jack Ma's Ant Group, setting the stage for ending the fintech company's two-year long regulatory overhaul.

It's going to be a cold winter, nonetheless.

Manufacturing indicators, mainly PMIs, due next week might attest to the weakness already seen across the economy. Beijing has hinted at cutting bank reserve requirements to help support the economy. Economists reckon China will do what it takes to get growth above 5% next year.

Graphic: China's COVID-19 spike - https://graphics.reuters.com/GLOBAL-MARKETS/zjvqjkonzpx/chart.png

3/ NO PEAK HERE

U.S. inflation may be close to peaking, but euro area price pressures remain strong, Wednesday's preliminary November estimate of inflation in the bloc is likely to show.

Inflation in the euro zone was 10.6% in October, more than five times the European Central Bank's 2% target. An underlying measure stripping out volatile food and energy prices remains well above target.

ECB Vice-President Luis de Guindos warns that the persistency of inflation pressures should not be underestimated. The ECB has hiked rates by 75 basis points at each of its last two meetings, lifting rates by 200 bps to 1.5% in just three months.

Markets price in an 80% chance of another 75 bps hike in December. Indeed, the Fed may be getting ready to slow the pace of its rate hikes, but the ECB is not there yet.

Graphic: No signs of thaw - https://graphics.reuters.com/GLOBAL-MARKETS/THEMES/lgpdkwamevo/chart.png

4/ DOMINO DANCING

Cryptocurrencies will likely remain under pressure, as the industry nervously waits to see whether any of the dominoes tottering after the collapse of crypto exchange FTX fall over.

Top of mind is crypto broker Genesis, which said on Monday it had "no immediate plans to file for bankruptcy", after media reports it was struggling to raise cash for its lending unit.

Bitcoin fell to $15,479 that day - a two-year low - though if anything it has held up better than feared, having largely traded sideways since FTX collapsed.

Crypto markets are in disarray, however, and CME December bitcoin futures are trading around $16,000, while the token itself is around $16,400. That's a massive discount by recent standards.

Graphic: Bitcoin in doldrums - https://graphics.reuters.com/GLOBAL-MARKETS/THEMES/xmvjkoermpr/chart.png

5/ BALL PARK FIGURES

Maybe World Cup fever is getting everyone excited, but suddenly England's two most storied soccer clubs, Manchester United and Liverpool, are up for grabs to the highest bidder.

AC Milan as well as Roman Abramovich's forced sale of Chelsea have already fetched top dollar this year, so some eye-watering valuations - nearly 7 billion pounds ($8.48 billion) in United' s case - are being banded around for this prized pair.

Both clubs have U.S. owners looking to head down the tunnel, but where potential buyers come in from, particularly at these prices when recessions and trophy droughts loom, is uncertain. Nevertheless, a crowd of billionaires, wealth funds and private equity bankers is cheering from the sidelines.

Graphic: Ball (NYSE:BALL) park figures - https://graphics.reuters.com/GLOBAL-MARKETS/egvbykqaepq/chart.png

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29-11-2022 09:02:21 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0358

+0.0021 (+0.20%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (4)

EUR/USD

1.0358

+0.0021 (+0.20%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (4)

GBP/USD

1.1989

+0.0031 (+0.26%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (2)

USD/JPY

138.76

-0.18 (-0.13%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (10)

AUD/USD

0.6664

+0.0016 (+0.24%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

USD/CAD

1.3464

-0.0032 (-0.24%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

EUR/JPY

143.74

+0.12 (+0.09%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

EUR/CHF

0.9823

+0.0012 (+0.12%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

Gold Futures

1,751.30

+3.20 (+0.18%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (3)

Silver Futures

21.145

+0.143 (+0.68%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

Copper Futures

3.6015

+0.0015 (+0.04%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

77.23

-0.01 (-0.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Brent Oil Futures

84.02

+0.13 (+0.15%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Natural Gas Futures

7.149

+0.131 (+1.87%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

US Coffee C Futures

163.02

-2.03 (-1.23%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (3)

Euro Stoxx 50

3,935.51

-26.90 (-0.68%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

S&P 500

3,963.94

-62.18 (-1.54%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (11)

Sell (0)

DAX

14,383.36

-158.02 (-1.09%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

FTSE 100

7,474.02

-12.65 (-0.17%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Hang Seng

17,716.00

+418.06 (+2.42%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

US Small Cap 2000

1,830.31

-38.89 (-2.08%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

IBEX 35

8,323.20

-87.50 (0.00%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

BASF SE NA O.N.

48.910

-0.695 (-1.40%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

Bayer AG NA

55.75

+0.30 (+0.54%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

203.80

-1.55 (-0.75%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Adidas AG

121.26

-2.72 (-2.19%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

7.528

-0.039 (-0.52%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Siemens AG Class N

131.54

-0.52 (-0.39%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (9)

Deutsche Bank AG

10.206

-0.184 (-1.77%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (8)

    EUR/USD 1.0358 Neutral  
    GBP/USD 1.1989 ↑ Buy  
    USD/JPY 138.76 ↑ Sell  
    AUD/USD 0.6664 ↑ Buy  
    USD/CAD 1.3464 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/JPY 143.74 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/CHF 0.9823 Neutral  
    Gold 1,751.30 ↑ Buy  
    Silver 21.145 ↑ Buy  
    Copper 3.6015 ↑ Sell  
    Crude Oil WTI 77.23 ↑ Buy  
    Brent Oil 84.02 ↑ Buy  
    Natural Gas 7.149 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 163.02 Buy  
    Euro Stoxx 50 3,935.51 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 3,963.94 ↑ Buy  
    DAX 14,383.36 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 7,474.02 ↑ Sell  
    Hang Seng 17,716.00 ↑ Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 1,830.31 ↑ Buy  
    IBEX 35 8,323.20 ↑ Sell  
    BASF 48.910 Neutral  
    Bayer 55.75 ↑ Buy  
    Allianz 203.80 ↑ Buy  
    Adidas 121.26 ↑ Sell  
    Lufthansa 7.528 ↑ Sell  
    Siemens AG 131.54 ↑ Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 10.206 ↑ Sell  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,640/ 6,710
(-15/ -15) # 1,485
SJC HCM6,650/ 6,730
(-15/ -15) # 1,507
SJC Hanoi6,650/ 6,732
(-15/ -15) # 1,509
SJC Danang6,650/ 6,732
(-15/ -15) # 1,509
SJC Nhatrang6,650/ 6,732
(-15/ -15) # 1,509
SJC Cantho6,650/ 6,732
(-15/ -15) # 1,509
Cập nhật 29-11-2022 09:02:24
Xem lịch sử giá vàng SJC: nhấn đây!
ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$1,745.90 -5.05 -0.29%
Live 24 hour Gold Chart
ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu
Sản phẩm Vùng 1 Vùng 2
RON 95-V24.91025.400
RON 95-III23.78024.250
E5 RON 92-II22.67023.120
DO 0.05S24.80025.290
DO 0,001S-V26.78027.310
Dầu hỏa 2-K24.64025.130
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI $77.42 -0.84 -1.09%
Brent $84.20 -0.94 -1.13%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD24.570,0024.840,00
EUR24.970,0326.365,87
GBP28.889,5530.118,73
JPY173,82184,00
KRW16,0019,49
Cập nhật lúc 08:22:51 29/11/2022
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