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NY Fed says China's COVID woes are pressuring supply chains

07 Tháng Giêng 2023
NY Fed says China's COVID woes are pressuring supply chains © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: The Federal Reserve Bank of New York building is seen in the Manhattan borough of New York, U.S., December 16, 2017. REUTERS/Eduardo Munoz/File Photo

By Michael S. Derby

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Declining world supply chain pressures are being challenged by new disruptions in China tied to the coronavirus pandemic, the New York Federal Reserve reported on Friday.

The regional Fed bank's December Global Supply Chain Pressure Index ticked down to 1.18 from November's revised 1.23 reading. According to the report, supply chain pressures have been easing notably since the spring of last year and bottomed in September, and have since then been bouncing around in a tight range.

In a blog posting accompanying the report, bank economists said "while supply chain disruptions have significantly diminished over the course of 2022, the reversion of the index toward a normal historical range has paused over the past three months," adding that "our analysis attributes the recent pause largely to the pandemic in China amid an easing of 'Zero COVID' policies."

In contrast to much of the rest of the world, until recently China has been pursuing aggressive lockdown strategies to mitigate the spread of the virus. Given China's large role in manufacturing, that approach has kept pressure on supply chains over recent months. Now, the easing of restrictions has been attended by a massive wave of coronavirus infections, which threaten to keep pressure on the ability to ship goods out of China.

The report noted that China's recent woes were affecting other Asian economies, and said the future of that nation's impact on supply chains is uncertain. "It will be interesting to see how future (supply chain index) readings evolve in light of the recent relaxation of China's pandemic restrictions and resulting wave of COVID-19 infections, hospitalizations, and deaths," the blog posting said.

Since the onset of the pandemic in the spring of 2020, global supply chains have been highly disrupted and have been a notable driver in helping to create the highest levels of inflation seen in decades.

Supply chain pressures as measured by the New York Fed have been generally easing since hitting a peak in the closing months of 2021. That trend is widely viewed as having taken some pressure off of overall inflation trends, which are showing some initial signs of a welcome softening.

High inflation has driven the Fed to raise rates at an aggressive pace. U.S. central bank officials have penciled in more increases for 2023 but expect to stop and hold for a while, amid expectations inflation pressures will start cooling off.

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07-02-2023 09:43:31 (UTC+7)

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 EUR/USD1.0739↑ Sell
 GBP/USD1.2049Sell
 USD/JPY132.32Buy
 AUD/USD0.6914↑ Buy
 USD/CAD1.3416↑ Sell
 EUR/JPY142.10Neutral
 EUR/CHF0.9951Neutral
 Gold1,885.95Buy
 Silver22.363Sell
 Copper4.0537↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI74.91↑ Buy
 Brent Oil81.80↑ Buy
 Natural Gas2.496↑ Buy
 US Coffee C176.35Neutral
 Euro Stoxx 504,205.45Neutral
 S&P 5004,111.08↑ Buy
 DAX15,345.91Neutral
 FTSE 1007,836.71Neutral
 Hang Seng21,450.50Buy
 Small Cap 20001,954.80↑ Sell
 IBEX 359,159.20↑ Sell
 BASF52.950↑ Sell
 Bayer58.19↑ Sell
 Allianz219.30Neutral
 Adidas155.36↑ Sell
 Lufthansa9.803↑ Buy
 Siemens AG142.96Sell
 Deutsche Bank AG11.356↑ Buy
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Cập nhật lúc 09:39:04 07/02/2023
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