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More small emerging market defaults 'probable' in 2023 - Fitch

22 Tháng Mười Một 2022
More small emerging market defaults 'probable' in 2023 - Fitch © Reuters

JOHANNESBURG (Reuters) -More sovereign defaults are "probable" next year among small emerging market countries, ratings agency Fitch said in its 2023 outlook on Monday, citing a likelihood of sudden jumps in borrowing costs, loss of market access and urgent funding needs.

Meanwhile the Group of 20 leading economies' debt restructuring process, the Common Framework, which is underway in Zambia and Ethiopia and has concluded in Chad, has proven ineffective at faciliating restructurings and is unlikely to improve next year, the ratings agency added.

Dozens of emerging countries, especially smaller and riskier ones referred to as frontier markets, have seen their borrowing costs soar to unaffordable levels in 2022 as the U.S. Federal Reserve has embarked on a hiking cycle in an effort to contain soaring inflation in the wake of Russia's invasion of Ukraine and ongoing COVID-19 lockdowns in China.

Sri Lanka defaulted on its debt earlier this year, while other countries including Egypt, Tunisia and Ghana have sought help from the International Monetary Fund.

"International bond market access will remain a challenge for small and frontier EMs, and more defaults are probable," the Fitch report said. "As in 2022, there will be cases of more urgent funding challenges in smaller and frontier EMs."

A greater share of emerging markets had a positive credit rating outlook compared to developed markets for the first time since 2018, Fitch said.

Nonetheless, 2022 was the second worst year for emerging market downgrades, the ratings agency said in a statement accompanying the report.

"Geopolitical risks remain high. There is as yet no clear path towards reconciliation for Russia and Ukraine, and similarly for China-U.S. relations," the statement said.

"Supply chains of traded goods effectively transmit the risks and consequences of these conflicts globally."

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BROKERS ĐƯỢC CẤP PHÉP
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29-11-2022 08:47:18 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0359

+0.0022 (+0.21%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

EUR/USD

1.0359

+0.0022 (+0.21%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

GBP/USD

1.1987

+0.0029 (+0.24%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

USD/JPY

138.88

-0.06 (-0.04%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

AUD/USD

0.6665

+0.0016 (+0.25%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

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USD/CAD

1.3466

-0.0031 (-0.23%)

Summary

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EUR/JPY

143.85

+0.22 (+0.16%)

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↑ Sell

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EUR/CHF

0.9824

+0.0013 (+0.13%)

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Gold Futures

1,750.00

+1.90 (+0.11%)

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Silver Futures

21.065

+0.063 (+0.30%)

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Copper Futures

3.6015

+0.0015 (+0.04%)

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Crude Oil WTI Futures

77.07

-0.17 (-0.22%)

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Brent Oil Futures

83.87

-0.02 (-0.02%)

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Natural Gas Futures

7.156

+0.138 (+1.97%)

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US Coffee C Futures

163.02

-2.03 (-1.23%)

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Euro Stoxx 50

3,935.51

-26.90 (-0.68%)

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S&P 500

3,963.94

-62.18 (-1.54%)

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DAX

14,383.36

-158.02 (-1.09%)

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FTSE 100

7,474.02

-12.65 (-0.17%)

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17,671.00

+373.06 (+2.16%)

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US Small Cap 2000

1,830.31

-38.89 (-2.08%)

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IBEX 35

8,323.20

-87.50 (0.00%)

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BASF SE NA O.N.

48.910

-0.695 (-1.40%)

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Neutral

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Bayer AG NA

55.75

+0.30 (+0.54%)

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Allianz SE VNA O.N.

203.80

-1.55 (-0.75%)

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Adidas AG

121.26

-2.72 (-2.19%)

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Deutsche Lufthansa AG

7.528

-0.039 (-0.52%)

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Siemens AG Class N

131.54

-0.52 (-0.39%)

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Deutsche Bank AG

10.206

-0.184 (-1.77%)

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 EUR/USD1.0359↑ Buy
 GBP/USD1.1987↑ Buy
 USD/JPY138.88↑ Sell
 AUD/USD0.6665↑ Buy
 USD/CAD1.3466↑ Sell
 EUR/JPY143.85↑ Sell
 EUR/CHF0.9824↑ Buy
 Gold1,750.00↑ Buy
 Silver21.065↑ Buy
 Copper3.6015↑ Sell
 Crude Oil WTI77.07↑ Buy
 Brent Oil83.87↑ Buy
 Natural Gas7.156↑ Sell
 US Coffee C163.02Buy
 Euro Stoxx 503,935.51↑ Sell
 S&P 5003,963.94↑ Buy
 DAX14,383.36↑ Sell
 FTSE 1007,474.02↑ Sell
 Hang Seng17,671.00↑ Buy
 Small Cap 20001,830.31↑ Buy
 IBEX 358,323.20↑ Sell
 BASF48.910Neutral
 Bayer55.75↑ Buy
 Allianz203.80↑ Buy
 Adidas121.26↑ Sell
 Lufthansa7.528↑ Sell
 Siemens AG131.54↑ Sell
 Deutsche Bank AG10.206↑ Sell
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,640/ 6,710
(-15/ -15) # 1,487
SJC HCM6,650/ 6,730
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SJC Hanoi6,650/ 6,732
(-15/ -15) # 1,508
SJC Danang6,650/ 6,732
(-15/ -15) # 1,508
SJC Nhatrang6,650/ 6,732
(-15/ -15) # 1,508
SJC Cantho6,650/ 6,732
(-15/ -15) # 1,508
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EUR24.970,0326.365,87
GBP28.889,5530.118,73
JPY173,82184,00
KRW16,0019,49
Cập nhật lúc 08:22:51 29/11/2022
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