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Marketmind: When the hawks sing

Thursday, January 6, 2022
Marketmind: When the hawks sing © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: The Federal Reserve building is pictured in Washington, D.C., U.S., August 22, 2018. REUTERS/Chris Wattie/File Photo

A look at the day ahead from Saikat Chatterjee.

All it took was the minutes of a three-week old U.S. Federal Reserve policy meeting to change the mood music in global markets. The Fed's December meeting minutes showed officials had discussed shrinking the U.S. central bank’s overall asset holdings as well as raising interest rates sooner than expected to fight inflation. That sent global markets in a tailspin with investors heading for the exits.

The Dow, which had hit a record high earlier in the day, reversed course and ended down more than 1%. The selloff was broad-based as markets underwent one of the most violent rotation trades in recent times with investors dumping tech stocks and favouring consumer staples and industrials. The Nasdaq plunged more than 3% on Wednesday in its biggest one-day percentage drop since February, signalling how much of the lofty valuations in technology stocks was premised on the view that interest rates would rise only gradually.

Bond yields shot higher with two-year yields, which track near-term rate expectations, rising nearly 3 bps to a 22-month high of 0.860%. Benchmark 10-year yields climbed 1.4 basis points above 1.71%, the highest level since April 2021.

In currencies, while the overall dollar index remained broadly unchanged from Wednesday's levels, the greenback gained ground versus the Aussie and the Canadian dollar while remaining broadly unchanged against the euro and the Japanese yen. Indeed, the dollar index is poised to break out of a nearly 8-year range which could have far reaching implications for its rivals.

The selloff in U.S, markets reverberated globally with Asian stock markets falling 1% while market gauges of volatility rose to a three-week high. Cryptocurrencies, the darling of the pandemic-scarred investor crowd, slumped with bitcoin falling more than 5% overnight.

Money markets are now pricing nearly an 80% probability of a U.S. interest rate by March and more than 80 basis points of cumulative rate increases in 2022, a breathtaking shift in expectations considering that only three months ago, investors were expecting the first U.S. rate hike in the summer of 2023.

Key developments that should provide more direction to markets on Thursday:

Macro corner: UK PMI, German CPI, Europe Nov Producer prices, U.S. Dec ISM

ECB's Schnabel gives speech in Frankfurt

Catering group Sodexo (PA:EXHO) beats first-quarter revenue forecast as schools reopen Graphic: US liquidity, https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/movanwjxgpa/US%20liquidity.JPG

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27-01-2022 04:28:23 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.1199

-0.0039 (-0.34%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

EUR/USD

1.1199

-0.0039 (-0.34%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

GBP/USD

1.3424

-0.0037 (-0.27%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

USD/JPY

114.99

+0.36 (+0.31%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

AUD/USD

0.7088

-0.0027 (-0.37%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

USD/CAD

1.2680

+0.0015 (+0.12%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

EUR/JPY

128.77

-0.04 (-0.03%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

EUR/CHF

1.0378

-0.0004 (-0.04%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (5)

Gold Futures

1,814.20

-15.50 (-0.85%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Silver Futures

23.315

-0.492 (-2.07%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Copper Futures

4.4692

-0.0458 (-1.01%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (0)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

87.17

-0.18 (-0.21%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

Brent Oil Futures

88.50

-0.24 (-0.27%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

Natural Gas Futures

4.100

+0.064 (+1.59%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

US Coffee C Futures

236.43

-1.70 (-0.71%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,140.65

-23.95 (-0.58%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

S&P 500

4,349.93

-6.52 (-0.15%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (11)

Sell (0)

DAX

15,354.39

-105.00 (-0.68%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

FTSE 100

7,482.78

+13.00 (+0.17%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Hang Seng

23,807.00

-482.90 (-1.99%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

US Small Cap 2000

1,971.72

-32.32 (-1.61%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (4)

IBEX 35

8,645.20

+25.00 (+0.29%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

BASF SE NA O.N.

68.105

+0.795 (+1.18%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (3)

Bayer AG NA

52.04

+0.49 (+0.95%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

225.68

+0.88 (+0.39%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

Adidas AG

241.75

-1.45 (-0.60%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (2)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

7.046

-0.021 (-0.30%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Siemens AG Class N

138.89

-2.35 (-1.66%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

Deutsche Bank AG

11.852

+0.432 (+3.78%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

 EUR/USD1.1199↑ Buy
 GBP/USD1.3424↑ Buy
 USD/JPY114.99Sell
 AUD/USD0.7088↑ Buy
 USD/CAD1.2680↑ Sell
 EUR/JPY128.77Neutral
 EUR/CHF1.0378Neutral
 Gold1,814.20↑ Buy
 Silver23.315↑ Buy
 Copper4.4692Buy
 Crude Oil WTI87.17Buy
 Brent Oil88.50↑ Buy
 Natural Gas4.100↑ Buy
 US Coffee C236.43↑ Sell
 Euro Stoxx 504,140.65↑ Buy
 S&P 5004,349.93↑ Buy
 DAX15,354.39↑ Buy
 FTSE 1007,482.78↑ Buy
 Hang Seng23,807.00↑ Buy
 Small Cap 20001,971.72Neutral
 IBEX 358,645.20↑ Buy
 BASF68.105↑ Buy
 Bayer52.04Neutral
 Allianz225.68Neutral
 Adidas241.75Buy
 Lufthansa7.046↑ Buy
 Siemens AG138.89↑ Buy
 Deutsche Bank AG11.852Neutral
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,195/ 6,235
(5/ -5) # 1,256
SJC HCM6,195/ 6,255
(15/ 10) # 1,274
SJC Hanoi6,195/ 6,257
(15/ 10) # 1,276
SJC Danang6,195/ 6,257
(15/ 10) # 1,276
SJC Nhatrang6,195/ 6,257
(15/ 10) # 1,276
SJC Cantho6,195/ 6,257
(15/ 10) # 1,276
Cập nhật 27-01-2022 04:28:25
Xem lịch sử giá vàng SJC: nhấn đây!
ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$1,814.02-8.14-0.45%
Live 24 hour Gold Chart
ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu
Sản phẩmVùng 1Vùng 2
RON 95-IV2486025350
RON 95-II,III
E5 RON 92-II2359024060
DO 0.05S1890019270
DO 0,001S-V1925019630
Dầu hỏa1779018140
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI$86.60+0.290.33%
Brent$88.40+0.130.14%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD22.470,0022.780,00
EUR24.775,4326.164,36
GBP29.663,4530.930,27
JPY191,46202,68
KRW16,2819,84
Cập nhật lúc 16:23:09 27/01/2022
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