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Marketmind: What worked and what didn't

Friday, December 24, 2021
Marketmind: What worked and what didn't © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A trader works on the trading floor on the last day of trading before Christmas at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in Manhattan, New York City, U.S., December 23, 2021. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly

A look at the day ahead from Sujata Rao

How many of the investment calls made a year ago did what they promised? As is usual in any year, some asset classes stubbornly refused to do as they were told.

Take the dollar. At this time last year, shorting the dollar was the most "crowded" trade, BofA said, citing its monthly fund manager survey. Some have pointed out in the past how his particular poll has acted as a contrarian indicator but this one has been particularly spectacular; the dollar index is up 7% this year. No central bank can "out-dove" the Fed, we were told, but of course, plenty managed it.

The other one that went wrong was emerging markets; expecting a rebound in trade, tourism and commodity prices, alongside dollar weakness, Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) a year ago told clients "Gotta Buy EM All!"

Hopefully they didn't. Emerging currency debt has lost 9% and equities are down 6%. Those index moves of course contain some gems (look at 20% gains for Indian shares and a 15% rise for frontier market equities) but also unfortunately... some Turkeys.

Even after some unorthodox measures by the administration to repair the damage, the lira remains down some 50%-plus on the year.

The commodity and oil bet has worked however, as has U.S. tech, the gift which kept giving -- for all the threats of more fines for monopolistic behaviour, higher taxes and challenges from smaller tech firms, the U.S. Nasdaq index rose 26%.

And makers of semiconductors -- dubbed the new oil by some -- are up 40%, not too far behind Brent's 45% rebound.

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16-01-2022 22:16:45 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.1416

+0.0002 (+0.02%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (4)

EUR/USD

1.1416

+0.0002 (+0.02%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (4)

GBP/USD

1.3677

+0.0004 (+0.03%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

USD/JPY

114.43

+0.22 (+0.20%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

AUD/USD

0.7209

+0.0003 (+0.04%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

USD/CAD

1.2541

-0.0013 (-0.10%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

EUR/JPY

130.62

+0.26 (+0.20%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

EUR/CHF

1.0443

+0.0014 (+0.13%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (5)

Gold Futures

1,817.90

+1.40 (+0.08%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (5)

Silver Futures

22.953

+0.035 (+0.15%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Copper Futures

4.4205

-0.0075 (-0.17%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

83.50

+0.20 (+0.24%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (6)

Brent Oil Futures

86.12

+0.06 (+0.07%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Natural Gas Futures

4.336

+0.113 (+2.68%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

US Coffee C Futures

239.65

+2.65 (+1.12%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (3)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,272.19

-43.71 (-1.01%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

S&P 500

4,662.85

+3.82 (+0.08%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (2)

DAX

15,883.24

-148.35 (-0.93%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

FTSE 100

7,542.95

-20.90 (-0.28%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

Hang Seng

24,212.00

-171.32 (-0.70%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

US Small Cap 2000

2,161.48

+2.05 (+0.09%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

IBEX 35

8,806.60

-10.30 (-0.12%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

BASF SE NA O.N.

68.110

+0.360 (+0.53%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (4)

Bayer AG NA

52.59

+1.53 (+3.00%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

227.00

-0.40 (-0.18%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

Adidas AG

252.35

-3.85 (-1.50%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

7.241

-0.043 (-0.59%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (0)

Siemens AG Class N

145.86

-5.64 (-3.72%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (3)

Deutsche Bank AG

11.954

-0.246 (-2.02%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

 EUR/USD1.1416Neutral
 GBP/USD1.3677↑ Buy
 USD/JPY114.43↑ Buy
 AUD/USD0.7209↑ Buy
 USD/CAD1.2541↑ Sell
 EUR/JPY130.62↑ Buy
 EUR/CHF1.0443Sell
 Gold1,817.90Neutral
 Silver22.953↑ Buy
 Copper4.4205Buy
 Crude Oil WTI83.50↑ Sell
 Brent Oil86.12↑ Sell
 Natural Gas4.336↑ Sell
 US Coffee C239.65↑ Buy
 Euro Stoxx 504,272.19Buy
 S&P 5004,662.85↑ Buy
 DAX15,883.24↑ Buy
 FTSE 1007,542.95Sell
 Hang Seng24,212.00↑ Buy
 Small Cap 20002,161.48↑ Buy
 IBEX 358,806.60↑ Buy
 BASF68.110Sell
 Bayer52.59↑ Sell
 Allianz227.00↑ Sell
 Adidas252.35Buy
 Lufthansa7.241↑ Buy
 Siemens AG145.86Neutral
 Deutsche Bank AG11.954Sell
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,120/ 6,160
(0/ 0) # 1,155
SJC HCM6,115/ 6,175
(15/ 5) # 1,170
SJC Hanoi6,115/ 6,177
(15/ 5) # 1,172
SJC Danang6,115/ 6,177
(15/ 5) # 1,172
SJC Nhatrang6,115/ 6,177
(15/ 5) # 1,172
SJC Cantho6,115/ 6,177
(15/ 5) # 1,172
Cập nhật 16-01-2022 22:16:49
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$1,818.23+0.520.03%
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ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu
Sản phẩmVùng 1Vùng 2
RON 95-IV2400024480
RON 95-II,III2390024370
E5 RON 92-II2291023360
DO 0.05S1838018740
DO 0,001S-V1873019100
Dầu hỏa1719017530
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI$83.46+0.380.45%
Brent$85.58+0.460.53%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD22.540,0022.850,00
EUR25.234,8826.649,42
GBP30.246,4531.537,99
JPY192,66203,94
KRW16,5020,10
Cập nhật lúc 10:10:03 17/01/2022
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