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Marketmind: PMI, PMI baby

Friday, November 25, 2022
Marketmind: PMI, PMI baby © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Passersby are silhouetted as they walk past in front of an electric stock quotation board outside a brokerage in Tokyo, Japan October 18, 2022 REUTERS/Issei Kato/File Photo

By Jamie McGeever

(Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever.

Asian markets are looking to round off the week on a positive note on Friday, with regional stocks on course to chalk up their fourth straight weekly rise.

The relative calm may not last, however, if recession risks and fears accelerate. There are good reasons to believe this is in the cards.

Indications from the initial batch of November purchasing managers index (PMI) data released so far show that private sector business activity is weaker than forecast and in many countries is contracting, most notably in the United States.

In Asia, Japan's manufacturing activity is shrinking at its fastest pace in two years, flash estimates showed. Investors will be paying close attention to the PMI reports for most other Asian countries - including economic heavyweights China, South Korea and India - due out on Dec. 1.

Fed officials, meanwhile, left markets a Thanksgiving morsel to chew over from their latest policy meeting minutes. A U.S. recession next year, they wrote, is "almost as likely as the baseline (forecast)."

Wall Street dismissed this on Wednesday, but it can't do so for long. Surely.

For now though, equity investors' glass is half full. The MSCI Asia ex-Japan Index is on course to post its fourth consecutive weekly rise, and so far in November it is up 14%. This would be its best month since March 2009 and one of its best on record.

Of course this comes at the tail end of a brutal year for world markets in which Asia has suffered from soaring U.S. interest rates and historically weak domestic currencies.

Like stocks, regional FX markets are enjoying a period of relative calm as weaker U.S. inflation readings have weighed on the dollar. Some have consolidated more than others: recent intervention has boosted the yen, and the Thai baht has appreciated six weeks in a row.

Investors will be hoping for more consolidation and calm on Friday, leaving the potential PMI fireworks for next week.

Three key developments that could provide more direction to markets on Friday:

- Japan Tokyo inflation (October)

- Malaysia inflation (October)

- Singapore industrial production (October)

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28-11-2022 12:51:52 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0349

-0.0046 (-0.44%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

EUR/USD

1.0349

-0.0046 (-0.44%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

GBP/USD

1.2048

-0.0045 (-0.37%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (11)

USD/JPY

138.43

-0.68 (-0.49%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

AUD/USD

0.6679

-0.0070 (-1.04%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

USD/CAD

1.3458

+0.0081 (+0.61%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

EUR/JPY

143.27

-1.32 (-0.91%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

EUR/CHF

0.9800

-0.0027 (-0.27%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

Gold Futures

1,748.75

-5.25 (-0.30%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (11)

Silver Futures

21.195

-0.235 (-1.10%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Copper Futures

3.5510

-0.0795 (-2.19%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

73.93

-2.35 (-3.08%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

Brent Oil Futures

81.16

-2.55 (-3.05%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (9)

Natural Gas Futures

7.175

-0.155 (-2.11%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

US Coffee C Futures

164.40

+1.65 (+1.01%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Euro Stoxx 50

3,962.41

+0.42 (+0.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (2)

S&P 500

4,026.12

-1.14 (-0.03%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

DAX

14,541.38

+1.82 (+0.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (2)

FTSE 100

7,486.67

+20.07 (+0.27%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

Hang Seng

17,170.00

-403.58 (-2.30%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

US Small Cap 2000

1,869.19

+6.37 (+0.34%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

IBEX 35

8,416.60

+37.20 (+0.00%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

BASF SE NA O.N.

49.605

-0.280 (-0.56%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (4)

Bayer AG NA

55.45

-0.06 (-0.11%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (6)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

205.35

+0.40 (+0.20%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

Adidas AG

123.98

-2.68 (-2.12%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (5)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

7.567

+0.036 (+0.48%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (9)

Siemens AG Class N

132.06

+1.10 (+0.84%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Deutsche Bank AG

10.390

+0.020 (+0.19%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (0)

 EUR/USD1.0349↑ Sell
 GBP/USD1.2048↑ Sell
 USD/JPY138.43↑ Sell
 AUD/USD0.6679↑ Sell
 USD/CAD1.3458↑ Buy
 EUR/JPY143.27↑ Sell
 EUR/CHF0.9800↑ Sell
 Gold1,748.75↑ Sell
 Silver21.195↑ Sell
 Copper3.5510↑ Sell
 Crude Oil WTI73.93↑ Sell
 Brent Oil81.16↑ Sell
 Natural Gas7.175↑ Sell
 US Coffee C164.40↑ Sell
 Euro Stoxx 503,962.41↑ Buy
 S&P 5004,026.12Neutral
 DAX14,541.38↑ Buy
 FTSE 1007,486.67↑ Buy
 Hang Seng17,170.00↑ Sell
 Small Cap 20001,869.19↑ Buy
 IBEX 358,416.60Sell
 BASF49.605Neutral
 Bayer55.45Sell
 Allianz205.35↑ Buy
 Adidas123.98Neutral
 Lufthansa7.567↑ Sell
 Siemens AG132.06↑ Buy
 Deutsche Bank AG10.390↑ Buy
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,640/ 6,710
(6,640/ 6,710) # 1,473
SJC HCM6,655/ 6,735
(-5/ -25) # 1,498
SJC Hanoi6,655/ 6,737
(-5/ -25) # 1,500
SJC Danang6,655/ 6,737
(-5/ -25) # 1,500
SJC Nhatrang6,655/ 6,737
(-5/ -25) # 1,500
SJC Cantho6,655/ 6,737
(-5/ -25) # 1,500
Cập nhật 28-11-2022 12:51:54
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$1,749.10-1.85-0.11%
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Sản phẩmVùng 1Vùng 2
RON 95-V24.91025.400
RON 95-III23.78024.250
E5 RON 92-II22.67023.120
DO 0.05S24.80025.290
DO 0,001S-V26.78027.310
Dầu hỏa 2-K24.64025.130
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI$73.94+2.613.52%
Brent$81.17+2.663.28%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD24.580,0024.850,00
EUR24.959,9426.355,23
GBP29.041,9330.277,62
JPY173,62183,79
KRW15,9719,46
Cập nhật lúc 12:12:23 28/11/2022
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