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Marketmind: Keep calm, risk on

13 Tháng Giêng 2023
Marketmind: Keep calm, risk on © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: The logo of the Bank of Korea is seen on the top of its building in Seoul, South Korea, March 8, 2016. Picture taken on March 8, 2016. REUTERS/Kim Hong-Ji/File Photo

By Jamie McGeever

(Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever.

U.S. inflation data for December is in, and while market reaction was perhaps a little muted relative to recent releases and the hype surrounding it, the overriding message for investors was clear: keep calm and risk on.

A Bank of Korea interest rate decision and Chinese trade data are the main set piece events in Asia, but markets there will likely open strongly after global stocks rose, bond yields fell and credit spreads tightened on Thursday.

No Friday the 13th bad omens here.

Annual U.S. consumer price inflation in December slowed as expected and monthly prices fell for the first time since 2020, numbers that suggest the Fed is closer to getting inflation under control and therefore nearer the end of its hiking cycle.

Given that some of the biggest intraday moves in financial markets last year were on U.S. inflation days, the reaction on Thursday wasn't explosive. Perhaps investors had run ahead of themselves a bit.

Still, MSCI's world index rose for the fifth day in a row, a winning streak not seen since August, and MSCI's Asia-ex Japan stock index has now risen in nine of the last 10 sessions.

A stunning 30-year U.S. Treasury auction helped push bond yields down further, fueling investors' appetite to go out across the risk curve. A Reuters poll on Thursday showed that investors are already adding to their long positions in Asian currencies.

In major currencies, the yen just chalked up one of its best days in years. It soared more than 2% on growing speculation that the Bank of Japan will review the side effects of its monetary easing at next week's policy meeting and may take additional steps to correct distortions in the yield curve.

The Bank of Korea on Friday is expected to raise rates by another quarter percentage point to a 15-year high of 3.50%, likely its last move in its tightening cycle.

Meanwhile, economists are bracing for another dismal batch of Chinese trade figures, with exports seen falling 10.0% in December and imports shrinking 9.8%, according to a Reuters poll.

Three key developments that could provide more direction to markets on Friday:

- South Korea interest rate decision (forecast +25 bps)

- China trade (December)

- Fed's Kashkari and Harker speak

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21-02-2024 11:58:33 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0814

+0.0011 (+0.10%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

EUR/USD

1.0814

+0.0011 (+0.10%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

GBP/USD

1.2632

+0.0014 (+0.11%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

USD/JPY

150.00

+0.01 (+0.01%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (4)

AUD/USD

0.6567

+0.0019 (+0.29%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (1)

USD/CAD

1.3511

-0.0009 (-0.07%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

EUR/JPY

162.24

+0.11 (+0.07%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

EUR/CHF

0.9527

-0.0005 (-0.06%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (3)

Gold Futures

2,041.75

+1.95 (+0.10%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

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Silver Futures

23.198

+0.062 (+0.27%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

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Copper Futures

3.8682

+0.0104 (+0.27%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

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Sell (11)

Indicators:

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Crude Oil WTI Futures

77.31

+0.27 (+0.35%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Brent Oil Futures

82.66

+0.32 (+0.39%)

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↑ Buy

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Natural Gas Futures

1.707

-0.001 (-0.06%)

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↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Indicators:

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US Coffee C Futures

188.03

+1.33 (+0.71%)

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↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Euro Stoxx 50

4,759.75

-3.32 (-0.07%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

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Sell (8)

S&P 500

4,975.51

-30.06 (-0.60%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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DAX

17,068.43

-23.83 (-0.14%)

Summary

Sell

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Sell (8)

Indicators:

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Sell (5)

FTSE 100

7,719.21

-9.29 (-0.12%)

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↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Sell (2)

Indicators:

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Hang Seng

16,745.00

+497.49 (+3.06%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

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Buy (6)

Sell (1)

US Small Cap 2000

2,003.65

-29.09 (-1.43%)

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↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Sell (0)

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Sell (0)

IBEX 35

10,038.20

+93.40 (+0.94%)

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Sell

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Sell (7)

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BASF SE NA O.N.

46.045

+0.270 (+0.59%)

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↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Bayer AG NA

28.77

-0.14 (-0.47%)

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Neutral

Moving Avg:

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Allianz SE VNA O.N.

249.40

+0.75 (+0.30%)

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Sell

Moving Avg:

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Adidas AG

181.12

+1.40 (+0.78%)

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↑ Buy

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Deutsche Lufthansa AG

7.339

+0.002 (+0.03%)

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↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Siemens AG Class N

168.72

-0.86 (-0.51%)

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Neutral

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11.954

-0.042 (-0.35%)

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↑ Sell

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Indicators:

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Sell (9)

 EUR/USD1.0814↑ Buy
 GBP/USD1.2632↑ Buy
 USD/JPY150.00Buy
 AUD/USD0.6567Neutral
 USD/CAD1.3511↑ Sell
 EUR/JPY162.24Buy
 EUR/CHF0.9527↑ Buy
 Gold2,041.75↑ Buy
 Silver23.198↑ Buy
 Copper3.8682Neutral
 Crude Oil WTI77.31↑ Buy
 Brent Oil82.66↑ Buy
 Natural Gas1.707↑ Sell
 US Coffee C188.03↑ Buy
 Euro Stoxx 504,759.75↑ Sell
 S&P 5004,975.51↑ Buy
 DAX17,068.43Sell
 FTSE 1007,719.21↑ Buy
 Hang Seng16,745.00↑ Buy
 Small Cap 20002,003.65↑ Buy
 IBEX 3510,038.20Sell
 BASF46.045↑ Sell
 Bayer28.77Neutral
 Allianz249.40Sell
 Adidas181.12↑ Buy
 Lufthansa7.339↑ Buy
 Siemens AG168.72Neutral
 Deutsche Bank AG11.954↑ Sell
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank7,630/ 7,800
(80/ 50) # 1,762
SJC HCM7,590/ 7,810
(0/ -10) # 1,772
SJC Hanoi7,590/ 7,812
(0/ -10) # 1,774
SJC Danang7,590/ 7,812
(0/ -10) # 1,774
SJC Nhatrang7,590/ 7,812
(0/ -10) # 1,774
SJC Cantho7,590/ 7,812
(0/ -10) # 1,774
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KRW15,8919,26
Cập nhật lúc 11:51:48 21/02/2024
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