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Marketmind: Happy Monday

Monday, September 12, 2022
Marketmind: Happy Monday © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Pedestrians wait to cross a road at a junction near a giant display of stock indexes in Shanghai, China August 3, 2022. REUTERS/Aly Song

(Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever

Asian markets should open the week on an upbeat note following the strong end to last week across global stocks, but with a heightened sense of caution ahead of Tuesday's U.S. inflation data.

The consumer price inflation report for August will be critical to the Fed's interest rate decision later this month and, therefore, the tone and direction for world markets.

Recent soundings from Fed officials suggest rates will continue to rise steeply. Bond and rates markets are taking this to heart - the two-year Treasury yield on Friday rose to a 15-year high of 3.575% and implied U.S. interest rates nudged 4%.

Equities, however, have shown some resilience. The MSCI world index rose 1.7% on Friday, its best day in a month, and closed the week up 2.6%, its first weekly rise in four. The Nasdaq jumped 4% last week.

Temporary relief from the rising interest rate storm?

The Asian economic data calendar on Monday is light - Indian inflation is the only major release - but investors will have Chinese industrial output, retail sales, unemployment, FDI and unemployment figures to digest over the coming week.

None of these will capture the recent lockdowns, but could still be useful measure of how fragile China's economy was even before they came into effect.

"While the Chinese economy has bottomed after the policy-induced contraction in 2Q22, Covid restrictions and an imploding housing market have sapped momentum," Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) analysts wrote on Sunday. They are forecasting GDP growth this year of just 2.8%.

Investors will also be on FX intervention alert from Beijing or Tokyo if the yuan and yen continue sliding to new lows. Japanese authorities, in particular, have warned that they are ready to defend support the yen, which slumped to a 24-year low against the dollar last week.

Key developments that should provide more direction to markets on Monday:

India inflation (August)

India industrial output (July)

UK growth, manufacturing, trade, industrial, services output (July)

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29-09-2022 05:00:40 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

0.9736

+0.0002 (+0.02%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

EUR/USD

0.9736

+0.0002 (+0.02%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

GBP/USD

1.0886

-0.0002 (-0.02%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (3)

USD/JPY

144.12

-0.04 (-0.03%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (3)

AUD/USD

0.6521

-0.0001 (-0.02%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (2)

USD/CAD

1.3606

+0.0001 (+0.01%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (4)

EUR/JPY

140.29

-0.04 (-0.02%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

EUR/CHF

0.9499

-0.0002 (-0.02%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Gold Futures

1,668.80

+0.10 (+0.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Silver Futures

18.915

+0.005 (+0.03%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

Copper Futures

3.3815

0.0000 (0.00%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

81.90

+0.05 (+0.06%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Brent Oil Futures

87.99

+0.22 (+0.25%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Natural Gas Futures

7.022

+0.262 (+3.88%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

US Coffee C Futures

227.80

+3.45 (+1.54%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

Euro Stoxx 50

3,335.30

+6.65 (+0.20%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

S&P 500

3,719.04

+71.75 (+1.97%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

DAX

12,183.28

+43.60 (+0.36%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (4)

FTSE 100

7,005.39

+20.80 (+0.30%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (6)

Hang Seng

17,250.88

-609.43 (-3.41%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

US Small Cap 2000

1,725.13

+62.62 (+3.77%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (3)

IBEX 35

7,442.20

-3.50 (-0.05%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (5)

BASF SE NA O.N.

39.415

-0.080 (-0.20%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

Bayer AG NA

48.19

-0.07 (-0.13%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (4)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

160.72

-3.02 (-1.84%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Adidas AG

130.24

+2.94 (+2.31%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (1)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

5.772

-0.024 (-0.41%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Siemens AG Class N

99.46

+1.54 (+1.57%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

Deutsche Bank AG

7.854

-0.274 (-3.37%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

 EUR/USD0.9736↑ Sell
 GBP/USD1.0886Neutral
 USD/JPY144.12Neutral
 AUD/USD0.6521Buy
 USD/CAD1.3606Sell
 EUR/JPY140.29Neutral
 EUR/CHF0.9499↑ Sell
 Gold1,668.80↑ Buy
 Silver18.915↑ Buy
 Copper3.3815↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI81.90↑ Sell
 Brent Oil87.99↑ Buy
 Natural Gas7.022Neutral
 US Coffee C227.80↑ Sell
 Euro Stoxx 503,335.30Neutral
 S&P 5003,719.04↑ Sell
 DAX12,183.28Neutral
 FTSE 1007,005.39Neutral
 Hang Seng17,250.88Buy
 Small Cap 20001,725.13↑ Buy
 IBEX 357,442.20Neutral
 BASF39.415↑ Buy
 Bayer48.19Neutral
 Allianz160.72↑ Buy
 Adidas130.24↑ Buy
 Lufthansa5.772↑ Buy
 Siemens AG99.46↑ Buy
 Deutsche Bank AG7.854↑ Sell
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Cập nhật 29-09-2022 05:00:42
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RON 95-V23.26023.720
RON 95-III22.58023.030
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Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
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EUR22.159,1623.399,49
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JPY159,76169,13
KRW14,2317,34
Cập nhật lúc 17:55:10 28/09/2022
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