Marketmind: Freedom day on Love Island

Monday, July 19, 2021
Marketmind: Freedom day on Love Island © Reuters. People arrive for the "00:01" event organised by Egyptian Elbows at Oval Space nightclub, as England lifted most coronavirus disease (COVID-19) restrictions at midnight, in London, Britain, early July 19, 2021. REUTERS/Natalie Thomas

A look at the day ahead from Julien Ponthus.

In a parallel universe, England would be celebrating lifting the European football crown with a public holiday and joyfully lifting all COVID-19 restrictions for a much-anticipated Great British Summer. In short, Freedom Day.

Instead, it's the Italians who are champions, Monday is a regular day in the City of London and Boris Johnson's plan to reopen the economy is seen at best as a high-risk gamble. Scientists writing in the Lancet medical journal called it "dangerous and premature".

With daily infections now north of 50,000, Britain's mood could switch swiftly from 'Love Island' to 'I'm a Celebrity...Get Me Out of Here'.

In fact it's just the kind of painful reality check that's been experienced by investors gambling hard on the reflation trade. As U.S. 10-year government bonds yields below 1.30% show, the surge of the Delta variant of COVID-19 has eroded faith in global economic recovery.

Sure, the reasons behind the recent bond rally are not fully explained but an unnerving 'peak growth' and 'peak stimulus' narrative has found its way into market commentary and research.

So European and U.S. stock futures are trading deep in the red this morning while Asian shares slipped to a one-week low. Perceived safe-haven assets, including the yen and gold, edged higher, while oil prices are down.

Second-quarter earnings meanwhile have been buoyant for the most part but they also seem to be shouting 'this is a good as it get'. Few believe the stellar results will lift global stock markets much higher than they are.

Key developments that should provide more direction to markets on Monday:

- UK house prices rise again amid record monthly sales

- BOE's Jonathan Haskell speaks

- Italian luxury fashion group Ermenegildo Zegna to go public by combining with a SPAC, giving the business an enterprise value of $3.2 billion

- Auctions: U.S. 6-month and 3-month T-bills,

- Telecom Italia (MI:TLIT) updates forecasts on revenues, Ebitda after DAZN deal

- Tencent to buy British video game company Sumo in $1.3 billion deal

Graphic: REFLATION - https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/azgpoqgxqpd/Pasted%20image%201626340348083.png

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24-07-2021 17:52:46 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.1773

+0.0003 (+0.03%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

EUR/USD

1.1773

+0.0003 (+0.03%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

GBP/USD

1.3747

-0.0016 (-0.12%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

USD/JPY

110.56

+0.41 (+0.38%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

AUD/USD

0.7365

-0.0013 (-0.18%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

USD/CAD

1.2560

-0.0004 (-0.03%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (1)

EUR/JPY

130.16

+0.53 (+0.41%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

EUR/CHF

1.0827

+0.0013 (+0.12%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (3)

Gold Futures

1,801.90

-3.50 (-0.19%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

Silver Futures

25.235

-0.146 (-0.58%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (8)

Copper Futures

4.4553

+0.1178 (+2.72%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (5)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

72.17

+0.26 (+0.36%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Brent Oil Futures

74.20

+0.41 (+0.56%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

Natural Gas Futures

4.046

+0.043 (+1.07%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (5)

US Coffee C Futures

191.88

-1.77 (-0.91%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,109.10

+50.05 (+1.23%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

S&P 500

4,411.80

+44.32 (+1.01%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

DAX

15,669.29

+154.75 (+1.00%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

FTSE 100

7,027.58

+59.28 (+0.85%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (4)

Hang Seng

27,284.87

-415.75 (-1.50%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

US Small Cap 2000

2,209.41

+9.94 (+0.45%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

IBEX 35

8,717.20

+95.40 (+1.11%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (8)

BASF SE NA O.N.

67.030

+0.470 (+0.71%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (3)

Bayer AG NA

51.20

+0.06 (+0.12%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (1)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

210.50

+1.78 (+0.85%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

Adidas AG

317.70

+5.38 (+1.72%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

9.849

+0.105 (+1.08%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

Siemens AG Class N

134.65

+0.49 (+0.37%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Deutsche Bank AG

10.590

+0.175 (+1.68%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

 EUR/USD1.1773Neutral
 GBP/USD1.3747↑ Sell
 USD/JPY110.56↑ Buy
 AUD/USD0.7365Buy
 USD/CAD1.2560Neutral
 EUR/JPY130.16↑ Buy
 EUR/CHF1.0827↑ Buy
 Gold1,801.90↑ Sell
 Silver25.235↑ Sell
 Copper4.4553Neutral
 Crude Oil WTI72.17↑ Buy
 Brent Oil74.20↑ Buy
 Natural Gas4.046Neutral
 US Coffee C191.88↑ Buy
 Euro Stoxx 504,109.10↑ Buy
 S&P 5004,411.80↑ Sell
 DAX15,669.29↑ Buy
 FTSE 1007,027.58Neutral
 Hang Seng27,284.87Neutral
 Small Cap 20002,209.41↑ Buy
 IBEX 358,717.20↑ Sell
 BASF67.030Neutral
 Bayer51.20↑ Buy
 Allianz210.50↑ Buy
 Adidas317.70↑ Buy
 Lufthansa9.849↑ Sell
 Siemens AG134.65↑ Buy
 Deutsche Bank AG10.590↑ Buy
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank5,695/ 5,750
(0/ 0) # 744
SJC HCM5,680/ 5,745
(-5/ -5) # 728
SJC Hanoi5,680/ 5,747
(-5/ -5) # 730
SJC Danang5,680/ 5,747
(-5/ -5) # 730
SJC Nhatrang5,680/ 5,747
(-5/ -5) # 730
SJC Cantho5,680/ 5,747
(-5/ -5) # 730
Cập nhật 24-07-2021 17:52:48
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