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Lululemon Athletica’s Upcoming Q2 Preview, Fundamental Outperformance to Continue

By Davit Kirakosyan A Stifel analyst provided an earnings preview on Lululemon Athletica Inc (NASDAQ:LULU) ahead of the company’s upcoming Q2 results, expected to be reported in...
Lululemon Athletica’s Upcoming Q2 Preview, Fundamental Outperformance to Continue © Reuters. Lululemon Athletica’s Upcoming Q2 Preview, Fundamental Outperformance to Continue

By Davit Kirakosyan

A Stifel analyst provided an earnings preview on Lululemon Athletica Inc (NASDAQ:LULU) ahead of the company’s upcoming Q2 results, expected to be reported in early September.

The analyst expects the company to deliver in-line or better quarterly results, highlighting the company’s (1) relative momentum vs. peers, (2) strong merchandise assortment and consumer reception to new product, and (3) deeper inventory positions.

Against a backdrop of subdued fundamental expectations but improving investor sentiment on consumer discretionary names, the analyst believes shares could trade higher into the Q2 report.

Stifel remains comfortable with its in-line revenue and EPS estimates for $1.775 billion and $1.86 reflecting the upper end of the prior guided range of $1.750-$1.775 billion and $1.82-$1.87.

The analyst’s Q2 revenue estimate for a 22.4% year-over-year growth is led by Company-Operated Stores (modeled at +25.1% year-over-year to $869.7 million vs. consensus of $874.9 million). The analyst estimates E-commerce sales to grow 21.1% year-over-year to $724 million (vs. consensus of $725 million) and Other sales (including MIRROR) to grow 15.0% year-over-year to $182 million (vs. consensus of $174.3 million).

Despite the challenging backdrop for many, the analyst has confidence in the company’s fundamental resilience and capacity for outperformance relative to expectations. “Big picture, LULU added guests to the franchise through the pandemic and is monetizing this loyal following by expanding the range of offerings to sell to this loyal consumer base,” added the analyst.

Stifel reiterated its buy rating and $381 price target.

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01-05-2024 10:45:17 (UTC+7)

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    EUR/USD 1.0658 ↑ Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.2475 ↑ Sell  
    USD/JPY 157.91 ↑ Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.6469 Neutral  
    USD/CAD 1.3780 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 168.32 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/CHF 0.9808 Neutral  
    Gold 2,295.80 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 26.677 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 4.5305 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 81.14 ↑ Sell  
    Brent Oil 85.62 ↑ Sell  
    Natural Gas 1.946 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 213.73 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,920.55 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 5,035.69 ↑ Sell  
    DAX 17,921.95 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 8,144.13 Sell  
    Hang Seng 17,763.03 ↑ Sell  
    Small Cap 2000 1,973.05 ↑ Sell  
    IBEX 35 10,854.40 Neutral  
    BASF 49.155 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 27.35 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 266.60 ↑ Sell  
    Adidas 226.40 ↑ Sell  
    Lufthansa 6.714 Neutral  
    Siemens AG 175.90 ↑ Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 15.010 Neutral  
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