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Investor Expectations for CrowdStrike 'Fairly Low' Ahead of Earnings - Morgan Stanley

By Sam Boughedda CrowdStrike Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:CRWD) will report earnings for its latest quarter aftermarket on Tuesday, August 30. Ahead of the earnings release, analysts at...
Investor Expectations for CrowdStrike 'Fairly Low' Ahead of Earnings - Morgan Stanley © Reuters. Investor Expectations for CrowdStrike (CRWD) 'Fairly Low' Ahead of Earnings - Morgan Stanley

By Sam Boughedda

CrowdStrike Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:CRWD) will report earnings for its latest quarter aftermarket on Tuesday, August 30. Ahead of the earnings release, analysts at Jefferies and Morgan Stanley provided commentary on what they expect:

A Jefferies analyst said in his note to clients that "CRWD should exceed F2Q cons ARR growth of 57% (Jef 58%) as its broad portfolio helps alleviate potential macro concern."

The analyst has a Buy rating and a $215 price target on the stock. He stated: "Our assumption of 5% qoq increase in New ARR vs the up 5-21% seen the past 3 F2Q's derives $2,120M of total ARR or 58% yoy growth, modestly above cons. 57% yoy growth, which is a decel from the prior Qs 61% yoy. Management noted similar seasonality as last year (+5% qoq, implying 31% yoy new business growth). If CRWD grows incremental ARR at 15% qoq which is in line with F2Q20 (and still represents a 10 pt decel on a 2-year stack of new org ARR business growth yoy vs F1Q), it would record 59% total ARR growth. We believe given heightened valuation that expectations are likely for near 60% total ARR growth."

Meanwhile, a Morgan Stanley analyst, who has an Overweight rating and $215 price target on CrowdStrike, said in his note that "after a modest ARR beat in Q1, investor expectations for CRWD are fairly low for FQ2."

"Checks remain largely favorable on overall demand and CRWD's position as market leader. While we don't expect major upside from Q2, commentary around growing Fed pipeline in Q3 could drive fwd estimates higher," added the analyst.

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01-05-2024 10:45:17 (UTC+7)

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 EUR/USD1.0658↑ Sell
 GBP/USD1.2475↑ Sell
 USD/JPY157.91↑ Buy
 AUD/USD0.6469Neutral
 USD/CAD1.3780↑ Buy
 EUR/JPY168.32↑ Buy
 EUR/CHF0.9808Neutral
 Gold2,295.80↑ Sell
 Silver26.677↑ Sell
 Copper4.5305↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI81.14↑ Sell
 Brent Oil85.62↑ Sell
 Natural Gas1.946↑ Sell
 US Coffee C213.73↑ Sell
 Euro Stoxx 504,920.55↑ Sell
 S&P 5005,035.69↑ Sell
 DAX17,921.95↑ Sell
 FTSE 1008,144.13Sell
 Hang Seng17,763.03↑ Sell
 Small Cap 20001,973.05↑ Sell
 IBEX 3510,854.40Neutral
 BASF49.155↑ Sell
 Bayer27.35↑ Sell
 Allianz266.60↑ Sell
 Adidas226.40↑ Sell
 Lufthansa6.714Neutral
 Siemens AG175.90↑ Sell
 Deutsche Bank AG15.010Neutral
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