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Goldman No Longer Sees Euro-Area Recession as It Lifts Outlook

Wednesday, January 11, 2023
Goldman No Longer Sees Euro-Area Recession as It Lifts Outlook

(Bloomberg) -- Sign up for the New Economy Daily newsletter, follow us @economics and subscribe to our podcast.

Economists at Goldman Sachs no longer predict a euro-zone recession after the economy proved more resilient at the end of 2022, natural gas prices fell sharply and China abandoned Covid-19 restrictions earlier than anticipated.

Gross domestic product is now expected to increase 0.6% this year, compared with an earlier forecast for a contraction of 0.1%. Economists led by Jari Stehn warn in a report to clients of weak growth during the winter given the energy crisis, and say headline inflation will ease faster than thought, to about 3.25% by end-2023.

“We also look for core inflation to slow due to cooling goods prices but see continued upward pressure on services inflation due to rising labor costs,” they said. “Given more resilient activity, sticky core inflation and hawkish commentary, we expect the European Central Bank to tighten significantly more in coming months.”

Goldman reiterated its call for half-point increases in interest rates at the ECB’s February and March meetings, followed by a final quarter-point step in May to take the deposit rate to 3.25%.

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04-10-2023 20:08:55 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0524

+0.0059 (+0.56%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (8)

EUR/USD

1.0524

+0.0059 (+0.56%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (8)

GBP/USD

1.2172

+0.0097 (+0.80%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (5)

USD/JPY

148.88

-0.14 (-0.09%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (3)

AUD/USD

0.6340

+0.0039 (+0.62%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

USD/CAD

1.3715

+0.0008 (+0.05%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

EUR/JPY

156.69

+0.72 (+0.46%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (6)

EUR/CHF

0.9630

-0.0010 (-0.10%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

Gold Futures

1,842.05

+0.55 (+0.03%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Silver Futures

21.435

+0.058 (+0.27%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Copper Futures

3.6075

-0.0135 (-0.37%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

87.66

-1.57 (-1.76%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Sell (2)

Indicators:

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Brent Oil Futures

89.34

-1.58 (-1.74%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

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Natural Gas Futures

3.026

+0.077 (+2.61%)

Summary

↑ Buy

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Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

US Coffee C Futures

147.90

-0.85 (-0.57%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,120.25

+24.66 (+0.60%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

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S&P 500

4,229.45

-58.94 (-1.37%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Indicators:

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DAX

15,148.85

+63.64 (+0.42%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Indicators:

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Sell (8)

FTSE 100

7,464.25

-5.91 (-0.08%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Hang Seng

17,186.00

-90.00 (-0.52%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

US Small Cap 2000

1,724.80

-32.02 (-1.82%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (5)

IBEX 35

9,172.33

+6.83 (+0.07%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

BASF SE NA O.N.

42.065

+0.305 (+0.73%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

Bayer AG NA

44.47

+0.59 (+1.34%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

220.68

-0.27 (-0.12%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Adidas AG

162.34

+1.62 (+1.01%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

7.158

-0.090 (-1.24%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

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Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (1)

Siemens AG Class N

134.51

+1.41 (+1.06%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

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Indicators:

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Deutsche Bank AG

9.950

+0.019 (+0.19%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

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Sell (8)

 EUR/USD1.0524Sell
 GBP/USD1.2172Neutral
 USD/JPY148.88Neutral
 AUD/USD0.6340↑ Buy
 USD/CAD1.3715↑ Sell
 EUR/JPY156.69Neutral
 EUR/CHF0.9630↑ Sell
 Gold1,842.05↑ Sell
 Silver21.435↑ Sell
 Copper3.6075↑ Sell
 Crude Oil WTI87.66↑ Buy
 Brent Oil89.34Neutral
 Natural Gas3.026↑ Buy
 US Coffee C147.90Neutral
 Euro Stoxx 504,120.25↑ Sell
 S&P 5004,229.45↑ Buy
 DAX15,148.85↑ Sell
 FTSE 1007,464.25↑ Sell
 Hang Seng17,186.00↑ Buy
 Small Cap 20001,724.80Neutral
 IBEX 359,172.33↑ Sell
 BASF42.065↑ Sell
 Bayer44.47Neutral
 Allianz220.68↑ Sell
 Adidas162.34↑ Sell
 Lufthansa7.158Buy
 Siemens AG134.51Neutral
 Deutsche Bank AG9.950↑ Sell
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Cập nhật 04-10-2023 20:08:57
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Sản phẩmVùng 1Vùng 2
RON 95-V25.37025.870
RON 95-III24.84025.330
E5 RON 92-II23.50023.970
DO 0.05S23.59024.060
DO 0,001S-V24.45024.930
Dầu hỏa 2-K23.81024.280
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI$86.64+4.630.06%
Brent$88.93+3.270.04%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD24.210,0024.580,00
EUR24.873,2126.238,71
GBP28.676,2629.897,08
JPY158,99168,29
KRW15,4918,87
Cập nhật lúc 18:51:01 04/10/2023
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