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Fed's Bullard says 2023 may be year inflation surge wilts

06 Tháng Giêng 2023
Fed's Bullard says 2023 may be year inflation surge wilts © Reuters. St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank President James Bullard stands with his back to the Teton mountain range outside the the annual Kansas City Fed Economic Policy Symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, U.S., August 25, 2022. REUTERS/Ann Saphir

By Michael S. Derby

(Reuters) - St. Louis Federal Reserve leader James Bullard said Thursday the new year could finally bring some welcome relief on the inflation front.

The rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee “has taken aggressive action during 2022, with ongoing increases in the policy rate planned for 2023, and this has returned inflation expectations to a level consistent with the Fed’s 2% inflation target,” Bullard said in material prepared for a presentation before a meeting held by the CFA Society St. Louis. “During 2023, actual inflation will likely follow inflation expectations to a lower level as the real economy normalizes,” he said.

Bullard did not connect that outlook to specific guidance on rate changes. Bullard held a voting role on the FOMC during 2022, in a year marked by the central bank’s historically aggressive campaign to lift rates to lower some of the highest levels of inflation seen in decades.

That saw the central bank take its overnight short-term rate target from near zero levels in March to the current 4.25% to 4.50% range. The Fed last lifted that target in December, going up 50 basis points, and it penciled in a move to 5.1% this year. Officials have said wherever they stop with rates they are likely to stay for a while as they ensure inflation pressures are easing.

Bullard said in his presentation that monetary policy is not yet in a space where it’s holding the economy back but soon will be. That coupled with low inflation expectations “may combine to make 2023 a disinflationary year.”

Bullard also said in his remarks that the economy over the second half of last year improved over a lackluster start to the year. He said it appears U.S. gross domestic product growth is moderating to around its longer-run potential of 2%. Bullard also said the job market remains “strong.”

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03-02-2023 13:55:46 (UTC+7)

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 EUR/USD1.0898↑ Buy
 GBP/USD1.2222↑ Buy
 USD/JPY128.60Buy
 AUD/USD0.7070↑ Buy
 USD/CAD1.3327↑ Sell
 EUR/JPY140.13↑ Buy
 EUR/CHF0.9962↑ Buy
 Gold1,929.45Sell
 Silver23.567↑ Buy
 Copper4.1235↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI75.83↑ Buy
 Brent Oil82.17↑ Buy
 Natural Gas2.429↑ Sell
 US Coffee C178.38↑ Buy
 Euro Stoxx 504,241.12Neutral
 S&P 5004,179.76↑ Buy
 DAX15,509.19Buy
 FTSE 1007,820.16↑ Buy
 Hang Seng21,673.50↑ Buy
 Small Cap 20002,001.22↑ Buy
 IBEX 359,229.70↑ Sell
 BASF53.840↑ Buy
 Bayer56.80↑ Buy
 Allianz221.70↑ Buy
 Adidas157.92↑ Buy
 Lufthansa9.893↑ Sell
 Siemens AG143.72↑ Buy
 Deutsche Bank AG11.456Neutral
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