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Fed could hike rates by 25 or 50 basis points on Feb. 1, Daly tells WSJ

10 Tháng Giêng 2023
Fed could hike rates by 25 or 50 basis points on Feb. 1, Daly tells WSJ © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank President Mary Daly poses at the Commonwealth Club of California in San Francisco, California, U.S. November 16, 2021. REUTERS/Ann Saphir/File Photo

(Reuters) - San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly on Monday said a half-percentage-point interest rate hike, or a quarter-percentage-point increase, are both possibilities for the U.S. central bank's Jan. 31-Feb. 1 meeting.

"I can give you arguments for either side," Daly said in a webcast interview with the Wall Street Journal. The Fed should try to bring inflation down "as gently as we can," but it also "absolutely" needs to make sure high inflation does not become embedded.

Daly said she thinks the policy rate, now in a 4.25%-4.50% range, will ultimately need to go to 5.00%-5.25% and stay there to bring inflation back down to the Fed's 2% target, but exactly how far it will need to rise will depend on the data. She said she expects the U.S. unemployment rate, now at 3.5%, to rise to about 4.5% or 4.6%, and inflation, now running at 5.5% by the Fed's preferred measure, to the low 3% range by the end of 2023.

Getting inflation down faster than that would require "enormous" labor market pain that Daly said she is not willing to inflict.

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07-02-2023 08:37:56 (UTC+7)

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 EUR/USD1.0739↑ Buy
 GBP/USD1.2045↑ Buy
 USD/JPY132.35↑ Sell
 AUD/USD0.6899↑ Buy
 USD/CAD1.3429↑ Sell
 EUR/JPY142.13↑ Sell
 EUR/CHF0.9953Neutral
 Gold1,884.45Buy
 Silver22.328↑ Buy
 Copper4.0445↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI74.75Buy
 Brent Oil81.63↑ Buy
 Natural Gas2.492Buy
 US Coffee C176.35Neutral
 Euro Stoxx 504,205.45Neutral
 S&P 5004,111.08↑ Buy
 DAX15,345.91Neutral
 FTSE 1007,836.71Neutral
 Hang Seng21,339.00↑ Buy
 Small Cap 20001,954.80↑ Sell
 IBEX 359,159.20↑ Sell
 BASF52.950↑ Sell
 Bayer58.19↑ Sell
 Allianz219.30Neutral
 Adidas155.36↑ Sell
 Lufthansa9.803↑ Buy
 Siemens AG142.96Sell
 Deutsche Bank AG11.356↑ Buy
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