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Fed could hike rates by 25 or 50 basis points on Feb. 1, Daly tells WSJ

Tuesday, January 10, 2023
Fed could hike rates by 25 or 50 basis points on Feb. 1, Daly tells WSJ © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank President Mary Daly poses at the Commonwealth Club of California in San Francisco, California, U.S. November 16, 2021. REUTERS/Ann Saphir/File Photo

(Reuters) - San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly on Monday said a half-percentage-point interest rate hike, or a quarter-percentage-point increase, are both possibilities for the U.S. central bank's Jan. 31-Feb. 1 meeting.

"I can give you arguments for either side," Daly said in a webcast interview with the Wall Street Journal. The Fed should try to bring inflation down "as gently as we can," but it also "absolutely" needs to make sure high inflation does not become embedded.

Daly said she thinks the policy rate, now in a 4.25%-4.50% range, will ultimately need to go to 5.00%-5.25% and stay there to bring inflation back down to the Fed's 2% target, but exactly how far it will need to rise will depend on the data. She said she expects the U.S. unemployment rate, now at 3.5%, to rise to about 4.5% or 4.6%, and inflation, now running at 5.5% by the Fed's preferred measure, to the low 3% range by the end of 2023.

Getting inflation down faster than that would require "enormous" labor market pain that Daly said she is not willing to inflict.

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04-10-2023 20:13:57 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0524

+0.0059 (+0.56%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

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Sell (6)

EUR/USD

1.0524

+0.0059 (+0.56%)

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↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

GBP/USD

1.2167

+0.0092 (+0.76%)

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Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

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Indicators:

Buy (1)

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USD/JPY

148.87

-0.15 (-0.10%)

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Indicators:

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Sell (8)

AUD/USD

0.6338

+0.0037 (+0.59%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

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Indicators:

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USD/CAD

1.3720

+0.0012 (+0.09%)

Summary

↑ Buy

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EUR/JPY

156.65

+0.68 (+0.44%)

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EUR/CHF

0.9629

-0.0011 (-0.11%)

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Gold Futures

1,841.85

+0.35 (+0.02%)

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Silver Futures

21.422

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3.6033

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Crude Oil WTI Futures

87.49

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Brent Oil Futures

89.19

-1.73 (-1.90%)

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Natural Gas Futures

3.040

+0.091 (+3.09%)

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US Coffee C Futures

147.85

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Euro Stoxx 50

4,115.35

+19.76 (+0.48%)

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S&P 500

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-58.94 (-1.37%)

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15,131.85

+46.64 (+0.31%)

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-13.65 (-0.18%)

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17,186.00

-90.00 (-0.52%)

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US Small Cap 2000

1,724.80

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Neutral

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IBEX 35

9,159.60

-5.90 (-0.06%)

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BASF SE NA O.N.

42.010

+0.250 (+0.60%)

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Bayer AG NA

44.41

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Buy

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Allianz SE VNA O.N.

220.48

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Adidas AG

162.18

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Deutsche Lufthansa AG

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 EUR/USD1.0524↑ Sell
 GBP/USD1.2167Neutral
 USD/JPY148.87↑ Sell
 AUD/USD0.6338Neutral
 USD/CAD1.3720↑ Buy
 EUR/JPY156.65↑ Sell
 EUR/CHF0.9629↑ Sell
 Gold1,841.85Sell
 Silver21.422↑ Buy
 Copper3.6033↑ Sell
 Crude Oil WTI87.49↑ Sell
 Brent Oil89.19↑ Sell
 Natural Gas3.040↑ Buy
 US Coffee C147.85Neutral
 Euro Stoxx 504,115.35↑ Sell
 S&P 5004,229.45↑ Buy
 DAX15,131.85↑ Sell
 FTSE 1007,456.51↑ Sell
 Hang Seng17,186.00↑ Buy
 Small Cap 20001,724.80Neutral
 IBEX 359,159.60↑ Sell
 BASF42.010↑ Sell
 Bayer44.41Buy
 Allianz220.48↑ Sell
 Adidas162.18Sell
 Lufthansa7.170Buy
 Siemens AG134.38Neutral
 Deutsche Bank AG9.948↑ Buy
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