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Euro climbs as ECB eyes rate hikes, dollar slides

By Sinéad Carew NEW YORK (Reuters) - The dollar index fell on Monday while the euro rallied after the European Central Bank indicated a move from negative interest rates, and...

By Sinéad Carew

NEW YORK (Reuters) - The dollar index fell on Monday while the euro rallied after the European Central Bank indicated a move from negative interest rates, and riskier currencies gained ground along with equities.

ECB President Christine Lagarde said in a blog post that the bank was likely to lift the euro area deposit rate out of negative territory by the end of September and could raise it further if it saw inflation stabilising at 2%.

After declining last week, U.S. equities followed European stocks higher on Monday. [.N]

The euro's rally came as the dollar fell broadly, with a selloff that began accelerating last week. (FRX)

Investors had more appetite for riskier assets on Monday as they reacted to Lagarde's comments and easing worries that a European recession was imminent while the U.S. outlook looked less inspiring, according to Erik Nelson, macro strategist at Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC), New York.

"We're seeing more optimism around global growth - European growth, Chinese growth, UK growth, and a little bit less optimism about U.S. growth. So the growth divergence theme is really a big thing and moving out of favor for the dollar," he said. 74e746b1-f764-486c-ae7a-83f7512257be2

GRAPHIC: FX market positions (https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/dwpkrnzgevm/Fx%20market%20positions.JPG)

The euro was the big gainer, last up 0.92% at $1.0666, having risen as much as 3.3% from its multi-year intraday low of $1.0349 on May 13.

The U.S. dollar index, up about 16% to a two-decade high to 105.01 over the 12 months to the middle of May, was last down 0.73% on Monday at 102.19.

Last week speculators' net long positioning on the U.S. dollar slipped, after hitting their highest level since late November in the previous week, according to calculations by Reuters and U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission data released on Friday.

The U.S. dollar has soared this year but with expectations for repeated Federal Reserve interest rate hikes priced in, Wells Fargo's Nelson said it may trade sideways for some time.

"The Fed will have a hard time becoming incrementally more hawkish," he said.

The Australian dollar, which initially showed a muted reaction to the victory for the centre-left Labor Party in national elections at the weekend, was up 0.89% at $0.7113.

CHINA BOOST

Meanwhile the Swiss franc was gaining against the dollar after Swiss National Bank governing board member Andrea Maechler said in an interview published on Monday that the bank will tighten monetary policy if inflation in Switzerland remains persistently high. The dollar was last down 0.96% against the Swiss franc after hitting its lowest level since late April.

Sentiment around China also helped riskier currencies. Shanghai is edging out of lockdown, and an unexpectedly big rate cut in China last week reassured investors. Also China will broaden its tax credit rebates, postpone social security payments and loan repayments, roll out new investment projects and take other steps to support the economy, state television quoted the Cabinet as saying on Monday.

The yuan had its best week since late 2020 last week and in offshore markets on Monday firmed to 6.6542 per dollar, its strongest since early May. [CNY/]

Geopolitics are also in focus in Asia this week as U.S. President Joe Biden tours the region.

========================================================

Currency bid prices at 10:33AM (1433 GMT)

Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid

Previous Change

Session

Dollar index 102.1900 102.9500 -0.73% 6.823% +102.9500 +102.0700

Euro/Dollar $1.0666 $1.0569 +0.92% -6.18% +$1.0687 +$1.0559

Dollar/Yen 127.5950 127.9200 -0.25% +10.84% +128.0550 +127.1600

Euro/Yen 136.08 135.03 +0.78% +4.42% +136.3000 +134.6700

Dollar/Swiss 0.9650 0.9743 -0.96% +5.78% +0.9751 +0.9629

Sterling/Dollar $1.2569 $1.2496 +0.62% -7.04% +$1.2601 +$1.2482

Dollar/Canadian 1.2775 1.2846 -0.55% +1.04% +1.2842 +1.2772

Aussie/Dollar $0.7113 $0.7052 +0.89% -2.12% +$0.7127 +$0.7046

Euro/Swiss 1.0291 1.0289 +0.02% -0.75% +1.0335 +1.0266

Euro/Sterling 0.8484 0.8457 +0.32% +1.00% +0.8495 +0.8434

NZ $0.6468 $0.6410 +1.01% -5.41% +$0.6491 +$0.6400

Dollar/Dollar

Dollar/Norway 9.6100 9.7400 -1.31% +9.11% +9.7330 +9.5965

Euro/Norway 10.2550 10.2923 -0.36% +2.42% +10.3123 +10.2207

Dollar/Sweden 9.8284 9.9285 -0.14% +8.99% +9.9711 +9.8115

Euro/Sweden 10.4840 10.4983 -0.14% +2.44% +10.5190 +10.4595

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EUR/USD

1.0793

+0.0006 (+0.06%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

EUR/USD

1.0793

+0.0006 (+0.06%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

GBP/USD

1.2636

+0.0014 (+0.11%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

USD/JPY

151.24

-0.12 (-0.08%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

AUD/USD

0.6527

+0.0012 (+0.18%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (5)

USD/CAD

1.3539

+0.0001 (+0.01%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

EUR/JPY

163.20

-0.05 (-0.03%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

EUR/CHF

0.9732

+0.0004 (+0.04%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

Gold Futures

2,254.80

42.10 (1.90%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (0)

Silver Futures

25.100

+0.002 (+0.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Copper Futures

4.0115

-0.0003 (-0.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

83.11

+1.76 (+2.16%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Brent Oil Futures

86.99

+0.04 (+0.05%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

Natural Gas Futures

1.752

+0.034 (+1.98%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (6)

US Coffee C Futures

188.53

-2.12 (-1.11%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Euro Stoxx 50

5,082.85

+1.11 (+0.02%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

S&P 500

5,254.35

+5.86 (+0.11%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (8)

DAX

18,504.51

+27.42 (+0.15%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

FTSE 100

7,952.62

+20.64 (+0.26%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

Hang Seng

16,541.42

0.00 (0.00%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (1)

US Small Cap 2000

2,120.15

+5.80 (+0.27%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (4)

IBEX 35

11,074.60

-36.70 (-0.33%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

BASF SE NA O.N.

52.930

-0.320 (-0.60%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

Bayer AG NA

28.43

+0.01 (+0.04%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

277.80

+0.35 (+0.13%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Adidas AG

207.00

+2.30 (+1.12%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (0)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

7.281

+0.104 (+1.45%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (6)

Siemens AG Class N

176.96

+0.04 (+0.02%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

Deutsche Bank AG

14.582

-0.030 (-0.21%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

 EUR/USD1.0793Neutral
 GBP/USD1.2636↑ Sell
 USD/JPY151.24Neutral
 AUD/USD0.6527Neutral
 USD/CAD1.3539↑ Sell
 EUR/JPY163.20↑ Sell
 EUR/CHF0.9732↑ Sell
 Gold2,254.80Buy
 Silver25.100↑ Buy
 Copper4.0115↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI83.11↑ Buy
 Brent Oil86.99Neutral
 Natural Gas1.752↑ Sell
 US Coffee C188.53↑ Sell
 Euro Stoxx 505,082.85↑ Sell
 S&P 5005,254.35↑ Sell
 DAX18,504.51↑ Buy
 FTSE 1007,952.62↑ Sell
 Hang Seng16,541.42Neutral
 Small Cap 20002,120.15Neutral
 IBEX 3511,074.60↑ Sell
 BASF52.930↑ Buy
 Bayer28.43Buy
 Allianz277.80↑ Buy
 Adidas207.00↑ Buy
 Lufthansa7.281↑ Sell
 Siemens AG176.96↑ Buy
 Deutsche Bank AG14.582↑ Buy
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank7,910/ 8,080
(30/ 30) # 1,364
SJC HCM7,900/ 8,100
(0/ 0) # 1,384
SJC Hanoi7,900/ 8,102
(0/ 0) # 1,386
SJC Danang7,900/ 8,102
(0/ 0) # 1,386
SJC Nhatrang7,900/ 8,102
(0/ 0) # 1,386
SJC Cantho7,900/ 8,102
(0/ 0) # 1,386
Cập nhật 29-03-2024 22:12:40
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Cập nhật lúc 18:53:13 29/03/2024
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