ECB promises even longer support for euro zone economy

23 Tháng Bảy 2021
ECB promises even longer support for euro zone economy © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: The headquarters of the European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt, Germany, March 12, 2016. REUTERS/Kai Pfaffenbach/File Photo

FRANKFURT (Reuters) - The European Central Bank unveiled new policy guidance on Thursday that hints at even longer support for the bloc's struggling economy, in line with its recent commitment to boost inflation that has undershot the ECB's 2% target for nearly a decade.

Unveiling a new strategy and a tweaked inflation target just two weeks ago, the ECB said that long periods of low inflation would require "especially forceful or persistent" policy support, a hint that stimulus might be kept in place for longer than many had predicted.

The ECB said it expects rates to remain at their present or lower levels until it sees inflation reaching it 2% target "well ahead" of the end of its projection horizon and durably for the rest of the projection horizon.

It also said progress in raising underlying inflation should be "sufficiently advanced" to be consistent with inflation stabilising at two per cent over the medium term.

"This may also imply a transitory period in which inflation is moderately above target," the ECB said in statement.

The bank earlier promised that interest rates would stay at their present or lower levels until the inflation outlook in its staff forecasts "robustly" converged to a level close to the target and underlying inflation dynamics were also showing such an upward trend.

Investors will now look for ECB President Christine Lagarde to unpack this guidance at her 1230 GMT news conference and explain the precise implications for interest rates and asset purchases.

But rate hike expectations have already been pushed out since the strategy update and markets see no increase in the bank's deposit rate until 2024, so Lagarde may seek to conserve those expectations rather than push them out further.

Investors will also look for clues on the future pace of asset buys after the ECB kept the main parameters of both the Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme (PEPP) and the Asset Purchase Programme (APP) unchanged.

The 1.85 trillion euro PEPP is set to run least until next March with volumes in the third quarter significantly above levels at the start of the year. The APP will meanwhile run at 20 billion a month until just before the first rate hike.

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24-07-2021 12:10:32 (UTC+7)

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 EUR/USD1.1773Neutral
 GBP/USD1.3747↑ Sell
 USD/JPY110.56↑ Buy
 AUD/USD0.7365Buy
 USD/CAD1.2560Neutral
 EUR/JPY130.16↑ Buy
 EUR/CHF1.0827↑ Buy
 Gold1,801.90↑ Sell
 Silver25.235↑ Sell
 Copper4.4553Neutral
 Crude Oil WTI72.17↑ Buy
 Brent Oil74.20↑ Buy
 Natural Gas4.046Neutral
 US Coffee C191.88↑ Buy
 Euro Stoxx 504,109.10↑ Buy
 S&P 5004,411.80↑ Sell
 DAX15,669.29↑ Buy
 FTSE 1007,027.58Neutral
 Hang Seng27,284.87Neutral
 Small Cap 20002,209.41↑ Buy
 IBEX 358,717.20↑ Sell
 BASF67.030Neutral
 Bayer51.20↑ Buy
 Allianz210.50↑ Buy
 Adidas317.70↑ Buy
 Lufthansa9.849↑ Sell
 Siemens AG134.65↑ Buy
 Deutsche Bank AG10.590↑ Buy
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