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ECB accounts show inflation fears justifying more rate hikes

25 Tháng Mười Một 2022
ECB accounts show inflation fears justifying more rate hikes © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Signage is seen outside the European Central Bank (ECB) building, in Frankfurt, Germany, July 21, 2022. REUTERS/Wolfgang Rattay/File Photo

FRANKFURT (Reuters) - European Central Bank policymakers feared that inflation may be getting entrenched at their last policy gathering so rates would need to rise further, the accounts of the Oct 26-27 meeting showed on Thursday.

The ECB raised rates by 75 basis points to 1.5% at the meeting to fight sky high inflation, bringing its total hikes to 200 basis points since July for its fastest policy tightening on record.

Policymakers also put the reduction of the bank's 9 trillion euro balance sheet on the agenda - inching closer to unwinding a decade worth of government debt purchases aimed at rekindling inflation that had been undershooting the ECB's objective.

"It was also clear that rates would need to be raised further to reach a level that would deliver on the ECB’s 2% medium-term target," the accounts of the meeting showed.

The ECB added that some policymakers even expressed the view that "monetary tightening would probably need to continue after the monetary policy stance had been normalised and moved into broadly neutral territory".

The 75-basis-point rate hike was supported by a large majority, although a "few" policymaker wanted a smaller, 50-basis-point move.

While the ECB firmly committed to further rate hikes, markets are now expecting a more modest, 50 basis point move on December 15 as a string of policymakers suggested that a slowdown after back-to-back 75 basis point increases was appropriate.

A possible compromise may be that a smaller rate hike is coupled with an early start in the reduction in the portfolio of bonds bought under the ECB's 3.3-trillion-euro Asset Purchase Programme, in a process known as quantitative tightening.

Even if the ECB slows down, markets see the deposit rate doubling to 3% next year as inflation, now at 10.6%, will take years, possibly until 2025, to fall back to the ECB's 2% target.

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29-11-2022 08:32:14 (UTC+7)

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1.0349

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EUR/USD

1.0349

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USD/JPY

139.12

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0.6654

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 EUR/USD1.0349↑ Buy
 GBP/USD1.1974↑ Buy
 USD/JPY139.12Sell
 AUD/USD0.6654↑ Buy
 USD/CAD1.3477↑ Sell
 EUR/JPY143.98↑ Buy
 EUR/CHF0.9822↑ Buy
 Gold1,747.20↑ Buy
 Silver20.905↑ Buy
 Copper3.6015↑ Sell
 Crude Oil WTI76.82↑ Buy
 Brent Oil83.60↑ Buy
 Natural Gas7.149↑ Sell
 US Coffee C163.02Buy
 Euro Stoxx 503,935.51↑ Sell
 S&P 5003,963.94↑ Buy
 DAX14,383.36↑ Sell
 FTSE 1007,474.02↑ Sell
 Hang Seng17,628.00↑ Buy
 Small Cap 20001,830.31↑ Buy
 IBEX 358,323.20↑ Sell
 BASF48.910Neutral
 Bayer55.75↑ Buy
 Allianz203.80↑ Buy
 Adidas121.26↑ Sell
 Lufthansa7.528↑ Sell
 Siemens AG131.54↑ Sell
 Deutsche Bank AG10.206↑ Sell
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SJC Eximbank6,640/ 6,710
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Cập nhật lúc 08:22:51 29/11/2022
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