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Dollar stands tall as focus swings back to Fed

15 Tháng Chín 2022
Dollar stands tall as focus swings back to Fed © Reuters. Woman holds U.S. dollar banknotes in this illustration taken May 30, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration
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By Rae Wee

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - The dollar stood near recent peaks on Thursday as markets increased bets the Fed has more work to do in its aggressive tightening streak to curb red-hot inflation, while wariness of intervention kept the yen steady.

The Japanese currency hovered at 143.02 in Asia after jumping on Wednesday when the country's central bank checked on exchange rates with banks - a possible preparation for yen buying.

A record Japanese trade deficit for August, however, underscored both the bear case for the yen and some of the effect that its 25% slide this year is having on the economy.

"The yen direction of travel continues to be for further weakness ... If they really want to stop the weakness, then a change in BOJ policy is the recipe," said Rodrigo Catril, a currency strategist at National Australia Bank (OTC:NABZY).

"Our sense is that the intervention, sure, it will scare the speculators on the day, but it's unlikely to prove longer lasting."

The kiwi jumped 0.2% to $0.6012, as official data showed gross domestic product (GDP) rose 1.7% in the June quarter, beating forecasts of a 1.0% gain.

Sterling was down 0.05% to $1.1536, while the euro slipped 0.06% to $0.9972 - both nursing losses after an inflation surprise sent the greenback surging on Tuesday.

The euro had some help from European Central Bank policymaker Francois Villeroy de Galhau who said on Wednesday that the bank's neutral rate, estimated as below or close to 2% in nominal terms, could be reached by the end of the year.

However, the dollar is in the driving seat ahead of next week's Fed meeting.

Fed funds futures are pricing in a 37% chance that the Fed will hike rates by 100 basis points.

"The market is kind of in consolidation mode," said NAB's Catril. "Clearly evident in the front end of the U.S. Treasury curve, the market is becoming a bit more emboldened to the reality that the Fed will remain aggressive."

U.S. producer prices fell for a second straight month in August as the cost of gasoline declined further, data showed on Wednesday, though that seemed cold comfort after Tuesday's data already dashed hopes of cooling consumer prices.

The Aussie was marginally lower at $0.6747 ahead of labour data due at 0130 GMT.

The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies, was up 0.09% to 109.7, not far off its two-decade peak of 110.79.

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30-09-2022 09:13:52 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

0.9812

-0.0002 (-0.02%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

EUR/USD

0.9812

-0.0002 (-0.02%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

GBP/USD

1.1149

+0.0034 (+0.31%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (11)

USD/JPY

144.68

+0.22 (+0.16%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

AUD/USD

0.6501

+0.0002 (+0.03%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

USD/CAD

1.3692

+0.0015 (+0.11%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

EUR/JPY

141.95

+0.17 (+0.12%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

EUR/CHF

0.9571

-0.0003 (-0.04%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Gold Futures

1,669.95

+1.35 (+0.08%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Silver Futures

18.810

+0.098 (+0.52%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Copper Futures

3.4205

-0.0058 (-0.17%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

81.33

+0.10 (+0.12%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

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Sell (10)

Brent Oil Futures

87.26

+0.08 (+0.09%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

Natural Gas Futures

6.883

-0.004 (-0.06%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

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Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

US Coffee C Futures

225.55

-3.15 (-1.38%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Euro Stoxx 50

3,279.04

-56.26 (-1.69%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

S&P 500

3,640.47

-78.57 (-2.11%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

DAX

11,975.55

-207.73 (-1.71%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

FTSE 100

6,881.59

-123.80 (-1.77%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Hang Seng

17,112.50

-53.37 (-0.31%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

US Small Cap 2000

1,671.71

-43.54 (-2.54%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

IBEX 35

7,300.10

-142.10 (-1.91%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (0)

BASF SE NA O.N.

38.850

-0.565 (-1.43%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

Bayer AG NA

47.72

-0.47 (-0.98%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Sell (10)

Indicators:

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Sell (6)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

159.62

-1.10 (-0.68%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (2)

Adidas AG

124.02

-6.22 (-4.78%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

5.817

+0.045 (+0.78%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Sell (2)

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Buy (4)

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Siemens AG Class N

98.26

-1.20 (-1.21%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

Deutsche Bank AG

7.594

-0.260 (-3.31%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

    EUR/USD 0.9812 Neutral  
    GBP/USD 1.1149 ↑ Sell  
    USD/JPY 144.68 ↑ Sell  
    AUD/USD 0.6501 ↑ Buy  
    USD/CAD 1.3692 Neutral  
    EUR/JPY 141.95 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/CHF 0.9571 ↑ Buy  
    Gold 1,669.95 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 18.810 Neutral  
    Copper 3.4205 Neutral  
    Crude Oil WTI 81.33 ↑ Sell  
    Brent Oil 87.26 ↑ Sell  
    Natural Gas 6.883 Sell  
    US Coffee C 225.55 ↑ Buy  
    Euro Stoxx 50 3,279.04 ↑ Buy  
    S&P 500 3,640.47 Neutral  
    DAX 11,975.55 ↑ Buy  
    FTSE 100 6,881.59 ↑ Buy  
    Hang Seng 17,112.50 ↑ Sell  
    Small Cap 2000 1,671.71 Buy  
    IBEX 35 7,300.10 Buy  
    BASF 38.850 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 47.72 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 159.62 ↑ Buy  
    Adidas 124.02 ↑ Sell  
    Lufthansa 5.817 ↑ Buy  
    Siemens AG 98.26 Neutral  
    Deutsche Bank AG 7.594 Sell  
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SJC Eximbank6,475/ 6,575
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