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Dollar Down to One-Month Low as Bets on Quick Fed Tightening Increase

By Gina Lee AiVIF.com – The dollar was down on Friday morning in Asia. The U.S. currency fell to a one-month low, with investors lowering U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate...
Dollar Down to One-Month Low as Bets on Quick Fed Tightening Increase © Reuters.

By Gina Lee

AiVIF.com – The dollar was down on Friday morning in Asia. The U.S. currency fell to a one-month low, with investors lowering U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate hike expectations and signs that the central bank could slow or even pause its tightening cycle in the second half of 2022.

The U.S. Dollar Index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies was down 0.34% to 101.32 by 12:28 AM ET (4:28 AM GMT).

The USD/JPY pair was down 0.22% to 126.86.

The AUD/USD pair rose 0.63% to 0.7143 and the NZD/USD pair rose 0.70% to 0.6522.

The USD/CNY pair inched down 0.08% to 6.7335 and the GBP/USD pair gained 0.48% to 1.2655.

The dollar index fell as low as 101.43 for the first time since April 25, 2022, and was set for a 1.5% drop for the week, following the previous week's 1.37% fall. This would be the first two-week decline since the turn of the year. Friday’s rally in Asia Pacific stocks also saw investors retreat from the safe-haven dollar.

The U.S. currency also fell against the euro to its weakest level since April 25 at $1. 0765. It also fell to the lowest level against the pound since Apr. 26, 2022.

The dollar’s loss was the risk-sensitive Antipodean currencies' gain, with the Australian and New Zealand dollars both on an upward trend.

The greenback hit a nearly two-decade peak above the 105 mark in the middle of the month but retreated amid signs that the Fed’s tightening of its monetary policy could already be slowing economic growth. U.S. Treasury yields have also fallen from multi-year highs, which further undermined the dollar.

The dollar weakened against the yen, falling gradually over the space of three weeks from a two-decade high of 131.35.

"U.S. inflation expectations have been coming off, so that's contributed to fading expectations for Fed tightening, which has weighed on the dollar, particularly dollar-yen, which is quite sensitive to yield differentials," Barclays (LON:BARC) senior FX strategist Shinichiro Kadota told Reuters.

"I think USD-JPY has peaked for now, but medium-term it will depend on inflation."

The minutes from the Fed's latest meeting, released earlier in the week, showed that most participants believed 50 basis-point hikes would be appropriate at the June and July 2022 policy meetings. However, many policymakers thought big, early interest hikes would allow room to pause later in 2022 to assess the effects of that policy tightening.

In cryptocurrencies, better risk sentiment did not help bitcoin, which slipped 0.9% to around the $28,908 mark and continued the week's gradual decline from $30,000.

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29-03-2024 14:18:56 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0778

-0.0009 (-0.08%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

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Sell (2)

EUR/USD

1.0778

-0.0009 (-0.08%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

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Buy (7)

Sell (2)

GBP/USD

1.2621

-0.0001 (-0.01%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

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USD/JPY

151.38

+0.01 (+0.01%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

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AUD/USD

0.6509

-0.0006 (-0.09%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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USD/CAD

1.3552

+0.0014 (+0.10%)

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EUR/JPY

163.12

-0.13 (-0.08%)

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EUR/CHF

0.9728

+0.0001 (+0.01%)

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Gold Futures

2,254.80

-0.10 (0.00%)

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Buy

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Silver Futures

25.100

+0.002 (+0.01%)

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Copper Futures

4.0115

-0.0003 (-0.01%)

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Crude Oil WTI Futures

83.11

+1.76 (+2.16%)

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Brent Oil Futures

86.99

+0.04 (+0.05%)

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Natural Gas Futures

1.752

+0.034 (+1.98%)

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US Coffee C Futures

188.53

-2.12 (-1.11%)

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Euro Stoxx 50

5,082.85

+1.11 (+0.02%)

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↑ Sell

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S&P 500

5,254.35

+5.86 (+0.11%)

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DAX

18,504.51

+27.42 (+0.15%)

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FTSE 100

7,952.62

+20.64 (+0.26%)

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Hang Seng

16,541.42

+148.58 (+0.91%)

Summary

Neutral

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US Small Cap 2000

2,120.15

+5.80 (+0.27%)

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Neutral

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IBEX 35

11,074.60

-36.70 (-0.33%)

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↑ Sell

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BASF SE NA O.N.

52.930

-0.320 (-0.60%)

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Bayer AG NA

28.43

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Allianz SE VNA O.N.

277.80

+0.35 (+0.13%)

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Adidas AG

207.00

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Deutsche Lufthansa AG

7.281

+0.104 (+1.45%)

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Siemens AG Class N

176.96

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14.582

-0.030 (-0.21%)

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 EUR/USD1.0778↑ Buy
 GBP/USD1.2621Buy
 USD/JPY151.38Neutral
 AUD/USD0.6509↑ Buy
 USD/CAD1.3552↑ Buy
 EUR/JPY163.12↑ Sell
 EUR/CHF0.9728Buy
 Gold2,254.80Buy
 Silver25.100↑ Buy
 Copper4.0115↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI83.11↑ Buy
 Brent Oil86.99Neutral
 Natural Gas1.752↑ Sell
 US Coffee C188.53↑ Sell
 Euro Stoxx 505,082.85↑ Sell
 S&P 5005,254.35↑ Sell
 DAX18,504.51↑ Buy
 FTSE 1007,952.62↑ Sell
 Hang Seng16,541.42Neutral
 Small Cap 20002,120.15Neutral
 IBEX 3511,074.60↑ Sell
 BASF52.930↑ Buy
 Bayer28.43Buy
 Allianz277.80↑ Buy
 Adidas207.00↑ Buy
 Lufthansa7.281↑ Sell
 Siemens AG176.96↑ Buy
 Deutsche Bank AG14.582↑ Buy
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SJC Eximbank7,910/ 8,080
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SJC Nhatrang7,900/ 8,102
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Cập nhật 29-03-2024 14:18:58
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$2,232.75-1.61-0.07%
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Sản phẩmVùng 1Vùng 2
RON 95-V24.69025.180
RON 95-III24.28024.760
E5 RON 92-II23.21023.670
DO 0.05S21.01021.430
DO 0,001S-V21.64022.070
Dầu hỏa 2-K21.26021.680
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Brent$86.82+5.180.06%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD24.610,0024.980,00
EUR26.047,4527.476,69
GBP30.507,5531.805,49
JPY159,05168,34
KRW15,9119,28
Cập nhật lúc 14:14:51 29/03/2024
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