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Dollar creeps higher as Fed's taper looms

By Tom Westbrook SINGAPORE (Reuters) - The dollar began the week firmly on Monday with investors in a cautious mood ahead of several central bank meetings, headlined by the...
Dollar creeps higher as Fed's taper looms © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A U.S. dollar banknote is seen in this illustration taken May 26, 2020. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo

By Tom Westbrook

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - The dollar began the week firmly on Monday with investors in a cautious mood ahead of several central bank meetings, headlined by the Federal Reserve, while looming catastrophe at indebted developer China Evergrande added to markets' fragility.

In thin trade, owing to holidays in Japan and China, the euro nursed losses from its weakest week in a month, slipping slightly to touch a four-week low of $1.1721.

Sterling and the Australian and New Zealand dollars were also pressured toward new troughs. The kiwi, at $0.7024, and sterling, at $1.3722, made three week lows as did the Aussie which fell 0.1% to $0.7253. [AUD/]

"The U.S. dollar is having a bit of a rebound," said Westpac analyst Imre Speizer, drawing support, he added, both from an expectation of imminent asset purchase reductions from the Fed and from caution as equity markets begin to get the wobbles.

"Everyone is eying the Fed, waiting for a tapering signal."

The U.S. dollar index rose very slightly to a month-high 93.263. The yen held at 110.01 per dollar.

The week brings central banks in Japan, the UK, Switzerland, Sweden, Norway, Indonesia, the Philippines, Taiwan, Brazil, South Africa, Turkey and Hungary as well as elections in Canada and Germany -- though traders are mostly focused on the Fed.

The Fed concludes a two-day meeting on Wednesday and markets' consensus is that it will stick with broad plans to begin tapering this year but will hold off providing details or a timeline for a at least a month.

Creeping U.S. yields, however, which at the 10-year tenor rose for a fourth straight week last week point to risks of a hawkish surprise or a shift in projections to show hikes as soon a 2022, both of which could support the dollar.

It would only take two Fed members to change their minds for the "dot plot" of median projections to reflect hikes next year, said Marshall Gittler of brokerage BDSwiss.

"So it's quite possible that they go from forecasting no rate rises next year to at least one," he said.

"Similarly, they are now forecasting two hikes in 2023 – that could easily go to three as well."

Among the other major central banks the Bank of England is expected to leave policy settings unchanged, but traders see potential for gains in the currency if the bank adopts a hawkish tone or more members being calling for asset purchase tapering.

There is no expectation of policy shifts at the resolutely dovish Bank of Japan on Wednesday, but a day later Norway's Norges Bank is expected to becomes the first G10 central bank to lift rates.

The Norwegian crown had slipped with oil prices and the rising dollar on Friday and last sat at a one-and-a-half-week low of 8.7154 per dollar.

The oil-sensitive Canadian dollar was also on the back foot ahead of an election on Monday where polling points to an advantage for incumbent Prime Minister Justin Trudeau but a likelihood he remains leader of a minority government.

In China, onshore stock and currency markets were closed on Monday but the yuan was under pressure offshore as the debt crisis engulfing Evergrande added to discomfort over China's slowing economy and regulatory crackdowns.

The yuan fell about 0.1% and through its 200-day moving average to 6.4770 per dollar. Evergrande has a bond interest payment of $83.5 million due on Thursday.

========================================================

Currency bid prices at 0116 GMT

Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid

Previous Change

Session

Euro/Dollar

$1.1721 $1.1726 -0.04% -4.07% +1.1734 +1.1721

Dollar/Yen

109.9850 109.9500 +0.07% +6.53% +110.0300 +110.0300

Euro/Yen

128.91 128.94 -0.02% +1.57% +129.0300 +128.9100

Dollar/Swiss

0.9323 0.9325 -0.03% +5.37% +0.9325 +0.9321

Sterling/Dollar

1.3719 1.3727 -0.02% +0.45% +1.3740 +1.3722

Dollar/Canadian

1.2774 1.2768 +0.05% +0.32% +1.2778 +1.2762

Aussie/Dollar

0.7253 0.7263 -0.14% -5.71% +0.7268 +0.7253

NZ

Dollar/Dollar 0.7028 0.7035 -0.07% -2.10% +0.7042 +0.7024

All spots

Tokyo spots

Europe spots

Volatilities

Tokyo Forex market info from BOJ

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EUR/USD

1.0775

-0.0012 (-0.11%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

EUR/USD

1.0775

-0.0012 (-0.11%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

GBP/USD

1.2622

0.0000 (0.00%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (1)

USD/JPY

151.40

+0.04 (+0.02%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

AUD/USD

0.6507

-0.0008 (-0.13%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (9)

USD/CAD

1.3559

+0.0021 (+0.16%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

EUR/JPY

163.12

-0.13 (-0.08%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

EUR/CHF

0.9722

-0.0005 (-0.05%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (4)

Gold Futures

2,254.80

-0.10 (0.00%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (0)

Silver Futures

25.100

+0.002 (+0.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Copper Futures

4.0115

-0.0003 (-0.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

83.11

+1.76 (+2.16%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Brent Oil Futures

86.99

+0.04 (+0.05%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

Natural Gas Futures

1.752

+0.034 (+1.98%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (6)

US Coffee C Futures

188.53

-2.12 (-1.11%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Euro Stoxx 50

5,082.85

+1.11 (+0.02%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

S&P 500

5,254.35

+5.86 (+0.11%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (8)

DAX

18,504.51

+27.42 (+0.15%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

FTSE 100

7,952.62

+20.64 (+0.26%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

Hang Seng

16,541.42

+148.58 (+0.91%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (1)

US Small Cap 2000

2,120.15

+5.80 (+0.27%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (4)

IBEX 35

11,074.60

-36.70 (-0.33%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

BASF SE NA O.N.

52.930

-0.320 (-0.60%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

Bayer AG NA

28.43

+0.01 (+0.04%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

277.80

+0.35 (+0.13%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Adidas AG

207.00

+2.30 (+1.12%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (0)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

7.281

+0.104 (+1.45%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (6)

Siemens AG Class N

176.96

+0.04 (+0.02%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

Deutsche Bank AG

14.582

-0.030 (-0.21%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

 EUR/USD1.0775↑ Sell
 GBP/USD1.2622Buy
 USD/JPY151.40Neutral
 AUD/USD0.6507↑ Sell
 USD/CAD1.3559↑ Buy
 EUR/JPY163.12↑ Buy
 EUR/CHF0.9722↑ Sell
 Gold2,254.80Buy
 Silver25.100↑ Buy
 Copper4.0115↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI83.11↑ Buy
 Brent Oil86.99Neutral
 Natural Gas1.752↑ Sell
 US Coffee C188.53↑ Sell
 Euro Stoxx 505,082.85↑ Sell
 S&P 5005,254.35↑ Sell
 DAX18,504.51↑ Buy
 FTSE 1007,952.62↑ Sell
 Hang Seng16,541.42Neutral
 Small Cap 20002,120.15Neutral
 IBEX 3511,074.60↑ Sell
 BASF52.930↑ Buy
 Bayer28.43Buy
 Allianz277.80↑ Buy
 Adidas207.00↑ Buy
 Lufthansa7.281↑ Sell
 Siemens AG176.96↑ Buy
 Deutsche Bank AG14.582↑ Buy
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank7,910/ 8,080
(30/ 30) # 1,361
SJC HCM7,900/ 8,100
(0/ 0) # 1,381
SJC Hanoi7,900/ 8,102
(0/ 0) # 1,383
SJC Danang7,900/ 8,102
(0/ 0) # 1,383
SJC Nhatrang7,900/ 8,102
(0/ 0) # 1,383
SJC Cantho7,900/ 8,102
(0/ 0) # 1,383
Cập nhật 29-03-2024 13:38:46
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ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$2,232.75-1.61-0.07%
Live 24 hour Gold Chart
ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu
Sản phẩmVùng 1Vùng 2
RON 95-V24.69025.180
RON 95-III24.28024.760
E5 RON 92-II23.21023.670
DO 0.05S21.01021.430
DO 0,001S-V21.64022.070
Dầu hỏa 2-K21.26021.680
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI$82.82+5.390.07%
Brent$86.82+5.180.06%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD24.610,0024.980,00
EUR26.047,4527.476,69
GBP30.507,5531.805,49
JPY159,05168,34
KRW15,9119,28
Cập nhật lúc 13:30:26 29/03/2024
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