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Dollar catches footing as inflation pressures rates outlook

By Tom Westbrook SINGAPORE (Reuters) - The dollar steadied on Monday after its steepest weekly loss in more than a month, as traders weigh the effect of inflation on the relative...
Dollar catches footing as inflation pressures rates outlook © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: An employee of the Korea Exchange Bank counts one hundred U.S. dollar notes during a photo opportunity at the bank's headquarters in Seoul April 28, 2010. REUTERS/Jo Yong-Hak

By Tom Westbrook

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - The dollar steadied on Monday after its steepest weekly loss in more than a month, as traders weigh the effect of inflation on the relative pace of looming rate hikes - with a wary eye on U.S. growth data and a European Central Bank meeting.

The greenback had softened, especially against the yen, after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said on Friday it was time to start cutting back asset purchases, though not yet time to begin raising interest rates.

His remarks came as investors have priced in Fed rate hikes starting in the second half of next year and yet have begun to trim long dollar positions in anticipation that other central banks could get moving even sooner.

On Monday, the dollar was firm at $1.1643 per euro and found a footing on the yen at 113.54 after Friday's slide. The Australian and New Zealand dollars were held below the multi-month peaks they had scaled during last week. [AUD/]

The Antipodeans, along with sterling, had bounded ahead this month as traders scrambled to price in higher rates while inflation runs hot, with markets now eyeing a near 60% chance of a Bank of England hike next week.

Sterling was up 0.1% at $1.3772, but analysts were cautious about further gains especially as the Fed edges closer to tapering and policy tightening. The Aussie was steady at $0.7473 and the kiwi at $0.7157.

"Dollar risks remain skewed to the upside," said Kim Mundy, a currency analyst at the Commonwealth Bank of Australia (OTC:CMWAY) in Sydney.

"(Fed) members are slowly conceding that inflation risks are skewed to the upside (and) the upshot is that interest rate markets can continue to price a more aggressive Fed Funds rate hike cycle which can support the dollar."

This week, Australian inflation data due on Wednesday is likely to set the tone for the next stage in a tussle between traders and a resolutely dovish central bank.

On Thursday, U.S. growth data is expected to show a slowdown in growth as consumer confidence has faltered, but a surprise on either side might have consequences for the interest rate outlook.

Also on Thursday the Bank of Japan and the European Central Bank meet. Neither are expected to adjust policy, but in Europe market gauges of projected inflation are at odds with the bank's guidance.

In the background, traders remain nervous about trouble brewing at indebted developer China Evergrande Group. It surprised investors by averting default with a last-minute coupon payment last week, but other pressing debts loom.

China's yuan held just shy of a five-month peak in offshore trade at 6.3804 per dollar. Cryptocurrencies were steady below the heights reached last week, with bitcoin up 2% at $62,000.

In emerging markets the beaten-down Turkish lira was braced for selling as state banks are expected to follow a surprise rate cut from the central bank.

========================================================

Currency bid prices at 0110 GMT

Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid

Previous Change

Session

Euro/Dollar

$1.1645 $1.1646 -0.01% -4.69% +1.1649 +1.1626

Dollar/Yen

113.7350 113.4900 +0.18% +10.07% +113.7400 +113.5750

Euro/Yen

132.45 132.17 +0.21% +4.35% +132.4500 +132.1200

Dollar/Swiss

0.9163 0.9162 +0.00% +3.56% +0.9169 +0.9157

Sterling/Dollar

1.3771 1.3756 +0.13% +0.81% +1.3775 +1.3752

Dollar/Canadian

1.2362 1.2368 -0.03% -2.90% +1.2379 +1.2358

Aussie/Dollar

0.7478 0.7470 +0.11% -2.79% +0.7478 +0.7465

NZ

Dollar/Dollar 0.7161 0.7150 +0.15% -0.29% +0.7162 +0.7148

All spots

Tokyo spots

Europe spots

Volatilities

Tokyo Forex market info from BOJ

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31-03-2024 10:19:50 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0793

+0.0006 (+0.06%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (5)

EUR/USD

1.0793

+0.0006 (+0.06%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (5)

GBP/USD

1.2624

+0.0002 (+0.02%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

USD/JPY

151.38

0.01 (0.00%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

AUD/USD

0.6522

+0.0007 (+0.11%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

USD/CAD

1.3543

+0.0006 (+0.04%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (1)

EUR/JPY

163.37

+0.12 (+0.07%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

EUR/CHF

0.9738

+0.0010 (+0.10%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (2)

Gold Futures

2,254.80

42.10 (1.90%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (0)

Silver Futures

25.100

+0.002 (+0.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Copper Futures

4.0115

-0.0003 (-0.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

83.11

+1.76 (+2.16%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Brent Oil Futures

86.99

+0.04 (+0.05%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

Natural Gas Futures

1.752

+0.034 (+1.98%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (6)

US Coffee C Futures

188.53

-2.12 (-1.11%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Euro Stoxx 50

5,082.85

+1.11 (+0.02%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

S&P 500

5,254.35

+5.86 (+0.11%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (8)

DAX

18,504.51

+27.42 (+0.15%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

FTSE 100

7,952.62

+20.64 (+0.26%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

Hang Seng

16,541.42

0.00 (0.00%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (1)

US Small Cap 2000

2,120.15

+5.80 (+0.27%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (4)

IBEX 35

11,074.60

-36.70 (-0.33%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

BASF SE NA O.N.

52.930

-0.320 (-0.60%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

Bayer AG NA

28.43

+0.01 (+0.04%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

277.80

+0.35 (+0.13%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Adidas AG

207.00

+2.30 (+1.12%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (0)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

7.281

+0.104 (+1.45%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (6)

Siemens AG Class N

176.96

+0.04 (+0.02%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

Deutsche Bank AG

14.582

-0.030 (-0.21%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

 EUR/USD1.0793Sell
 GBP/USD1.2624Sell
 USD/JPY151.38↑ Buy
 AUD/USD0.6522Sell
 USD/CAD1.3543Buy
 EUR/JPY163.37↑ Sell
 EUR/CHF0.9738↑ Buy
 Gold2,254.80Buy
 Silver25.100↑ Buy
 Copper4.0115↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI83.11↑ Buy
 Brent Oil86.99Neutral
 Natural Gas1.752↑ Sell
 US Coffee C188.53↑ Sell
 Euro Stoxx 505,082.85↑ Sell
 S&P 5005,254.35↑ Sell
 DAX18,504.51↑ Buy
 FTSE 1007,952.62↑ Sell
 Hang Seng16,541.42Neutral
 Small Cap 20002,120.15Neutral
 IBEX 3511,074.60↑ Sell
 BASF52.930↑ Buy
 Bayer28.43Buy
 Allianz277.80↑ Buy
 Adidas207.00↑ Buy
 Lufthansa7.281↑ Sell
 Siemens AG176.96↑ Buy
 Deutsche Bank AG14.582↑ Buy
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank7,910/ 8,080
(7,910/ 8,080) # 1,364
SJC HCM7,830/ 8,080
(0/ 0) # 1,364
SJC Hanoi7,830/ 8,082
(0/ 0) # 1,366
SJC Danang7,830/ 8,082
(0/ 0) # 1,366
SJC Nhatrang7,830/ 8,082
(0/ 0) # 1,366
SJC Cantho7,830/ 8,082
(0/ 0) # 1,366
Cập nhật 31-03-2024 10:19:52
Xem lịch sử giá vàng SJC: nhấn đây!
ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$2,232.75-1.61-0.07%
Live 24 hour Gold Chart
ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu
Sản phẩmVùng 1Vùng 2
RON 95-V24.69025.180
RON 95-III24.28024.760
E5 RON 92-II23.21023.670
DO 0.05S21.01021.430
DO 0,001S-V21.64022.070
Dầu hỏa 2-K21.26021.680
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI$82.82+5.390.07%
Brent$86.82+5.180.06%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD24.600,0024.970,00
EUR26.020,0327.447,78
GBP30.490,4131.787,64
JPY158,93168,22
KRW15,9119,28
Cập nhật lúc 10:12:31 31/03/2024
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