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Chancellor Scholz's SPD party faces test in key state vote

15 Tháng Năm 2022

By Riham Alkousaa

BERLIN (Reuters) - An election in Germany's most populous state on Sunday poses an early test for Chancellor Olaf Scholz's Social Democrats five months after he took office with a domestic policy focus that was quickly eclipsed by the war in Ukraine.

"North Rhine-Westphalia always sends an important signal for federal politics," said Nico Siegel, the executive director of pollster Infratest dimap.

The centre-left Social Democrats (SPD) dominated North Rhine-Westphalia (NRW) -- home to more than a fifth of Germany's population and to the rust-belt Ruhr region -- for most of the past half century.

But the party lost to former Chancellor Angela Merkel's conservatives (CDU) in its worst state election in 2017, under attack for its failure to tackle traffic jams and a rising crime rate. A few months later, it also suffered a record defeat at the federal level.

Ahead of Sunday's vote, the two parties were very close in the polls, with the CDU having a slight lead at 32% versus 28% for the SPD in a survey published by INSA on Thursday.

"An election victory would radiate, in a positive sense, into discussions about the SPD's strength in the federal government and Olaf Scholz's popularity," Siegel said

The NRW election is also seen giving a boost to Germany's environmentalist Greens party, which could become kingmaker.

The CDU has governed the state in a coalition with business friendly FDP since 2017. But even with its slight lead over the SPD, it might not be able to secure a majority with just the FDP, which stood at 8% in the polls.

The Greens most recently polled around 16%, which means either party is likely to need the Greens to form a state government.

LOCAL ISSUES

Last week, the CDU won by a landslide in the considerably smaller northern state of Schleswig-Holstein, but in NRW it will have a much harder time securing votes.

Local issues such as affordable rents and public transport are usually what determines voters' decisions in state elections.

Siegel said there was no dominant topic determining voters' behaviour across parties. In 2017, the CDU won the vote by focusing its campaign on traffic jams, rising crime and an underperforming education system.

Manfred Guellner, head of pollster Forsa, told Reuters that job security and the impact of structural change from the dismantling of the coal-fired power plants were important issues on voters' minds.

The CDU's win in Schleswig-Holstein was seen partly driven by the popularity of state premier Daniel Guenther. In NRW, its candidate Hendrik Wuest only just took office in October and has not had time to build a following.

Wuest is running against Thomas Kutschaty, the SPD candidate, who served as a minister of justice in the state from 2010 until 2017.

The fact that the state is the home turf of CDU leader Friedrich Merz is also not expected to help the party win the election. A Forsa survey published on Wednesday showed that only 13% of Germans believe that Merz would be a better candidate for chancellor than Scholz.

"To put it bluntly, Merz does not help at all, on the contrary," Forsa's Guellner said.

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28-05-2022 12:01:20 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0735

+0.0011 (+0.10%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

EUR/USD

1.0735

+0.0011 (+0.10%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

GBP/USD

1.2629

+0.0035 (+0.28%)

Summary

Sell

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Buy (4)

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Buy (3)

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USD/JPY

127.13

-0.01 (-0.01%)

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Buy (12)

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Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

AUD/USD

0.7161

+0.0063 (+0.89%)

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↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

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Indicators:

Buy (7)

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USD/CAD

1.2723

-0.0049 (-0.38%)

Summary

Neutral

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Buy (9)

Sell (3)

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Buy (2)

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EUR/JPY

136.48

+0.14 (+0.10%)

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EUR/CHF

1.0278

-0.0010 (-0.10%)

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Gold Futures

1,851.64

+4.04 (+0.22%)

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Silver Futures

22.130

+0.165 (+0.75%)

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Copper Futures

4.3225

+0.0635 (+1.49%)

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Crude Oil WTI Futures

115.07

+0.98 (+0.86%)

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↑ Sell

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Brent Oil Futures

115.32

+1.15 (+1.01%)

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Natural Gas Futures

8.708

-0.187 (-2.10%)

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Buy (6)

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US Coffee C Futures

228.65

+2.05 (+0.90%)

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↑ Sell

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Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Euro Stoxx 50

3,808.86

+68.55 (+1.83%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

S&P 500

4,158.24

+100.40 (+2.47%)

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↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

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Indicators:

Buy (7)

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DAX

14,462.19

+230.90 (+1.62%)

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FTSE 100

7,585.46

+20.54 (+0.27%)

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Sell

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Buy (1)

Sell (11)

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Buy (4)

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Hang Seng

20,697.36

+581.16 (+2.89%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

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US Small Cap 2000

1,887.90

+49.66 (+2.70%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

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IBEX 35

8,933.60

+44.80 (+0.50%)

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↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Buy (9)

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BASF SE NA O.N.

51.110

+0.320 (+0.63%)

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Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

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Buy (1)

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Bayer AG NA

66.58

+0.68 (+1.03%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Buy (7)

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Allianz SE VNA O.N.

200.20

+1.40 (+0.70%)

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↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

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Buy (8)

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Adidas AG

179.96

+3.20 (+1.81%)

Summary

↑ Buy

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Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

6.881

+0.031 (+0.45%)

Summary

↑ Buy

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Buy (11)

Sell (1)

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Buy (7)

Sell (2)

Siemens AG Class N

121.86

+3.34 (+2.82%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

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Deutsche Bank AG

10.392

-0.022 (-0.21%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

 EUR/USD1.0735↑ Buy
 GBP/USD1.2629Sell
 USD/JPY127.13↑ Buy
 AUD/USD0.7161↑ Buy
 USD/CAD1.2723Neutral
 EUR/JPY136.48↑ Buy
 EUR/CHF1.0278↑ Buy
 Gold1,851.64↑ Buy
 Silver22.130↑ Buy
 Copper4.3225↑ Sell
 Crude Oil WTI115.07↑ Sell
 Brent Oil115.32↑ Sell
 Natural Gas8.708↑ Buy
 US Coffee C228.65↑ Sell
 Euro Stoxx 503,808.86↑ Buy
 S&P 5004,158.24↑ Buy
 DAX14,462.19↑ Buy
 FTSE 1007,585.46Sell
 Hang Seng20,697.36↑ Buy
 Small Cap 20001,887.90Neutral
 IBEX 358,933.60↑ Buy
 BASF51.110Neutral
 Bayer66.58↑ Buy
 Allianz200.20↑ Buy
 Adidas179.96↑ Buy
 Lufthansa6.881↑ Buy
 Siemens AG121.86Buy
 Deutsche Bank AG10.392↑ Sell
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,830/ 6,940
(0/ 0) # 1,716
SJC HCM6,850/ 6,950
(-5/ -5) # 1,738
SJC Hanoi6,850/ 6,952
(-5/ -5) # 1,740
SJC Danang6,850/ 6,952
(-5/ -5) # 1,740
SJC Nhatrang6,850/ 6,952
(-5/ -5) # 1,740
SJC Cantho6,850/ 6,952
(-5/ -5) # 1,740
Cập nhật 28-05-2022 12:01:22
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ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$1,853.48+0.570.03%
Live 24 hour Gold Chart
ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu
Sản phẩmVùng 1Vùng 2
RON 95-V31.25031.870
RON 95-III30.65031.260
E5 RON 92-II29.63030.220
DO 0.05S25.55026.060
DO 0,001S-V26.35026.870
Dầu hỏa 2-K24.40024.880
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI$113.93+1.171.01%
Brent$115.32+4.013.36%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.030,0023.340,00
EUR24.263,1125.622,23
GBP28.523,9629.740,84
JPY177,60188,03
KRW15,9119,38
Cập nhật lúc 11:59:59 28/05/2022
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