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Brazil central bank holds interest rates after 12 straight increases

22 Tháng Chín 2022
Brazil central bank holds interest rates after 12 straight increases © Reuters. People walk in front the Central Bank headquarters building in Brasilia, Brazil March 22, 2022. REUTERS/Adriano Machado

By Marcela Ayres

BRASILIA (Reuters) - Brazil's central bank on Wednesday decided to keep interest rates unchanged, pausing an aggressive monetary tightening cycle even as policymakers in the United States and other major economies are still racing to catch up with inflation.

The bank's rate-setting committee, known as Copom, decided by a vote of 7-to-2 to leave its benchmark Selic interest at 13.75% after 12 consecutive increases. Of the 32 economists polled by Reuters, 24 expected the policymakers to hold rates and eight forecast a final increase of 25 basis points.

With that, policymakers likely ended what had been the world's most aggressive rate-hiking cycle, lifting the benchmark rate from a record-low 2% in March 2021 and putting Brazil ahead of many central banks that only started raising rates recently.

The Federal Reserve delivered its third straight steep rate increase on Wednesday and flagged another on the way this year.

Brazil's central bank decided to stop hiking rates after consumer prices registered their second straight monthly drop in August, helped by tax cuts on fuel and energy.

Economists are already debating when Brazil's interest rates might start falling again – including Economy Minister Paulo Guedes himself, who predicted rate cuts in early 2023.

However, central bank directors have taken a harsher tone in recent public comments, stressing it is too early to start discussing lower rates as the battle with inflation is not done.

"The Committee reinforces that future monetary policy steps can be adjusted and will not hesitate to resume the tightening cycle if the disinflationary process does not proceed as expected," policymakers wrote in the statement of their decision.

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30-09-2022 10:49:23 (UTC+7)

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 EUR/USD0.9804↑ Sell
 GBP/USD1.1099↑ Buy
 USD/JPY144.74↑ Buy
 AUD/USD0.6493↑ Sell
 USD/CAD1.3709Buy
 EUR/JPY141.90↑ Buy
 EUR/CHF0.9573↑ Buy
 Gold1,670.40↑ Sell
 Silver18.828↑ Sell
 Copper3.4155↑ Sell
 Crude Oil WTI81.03↑ Sell
 Brent Oil86.94↑ Sell
 Natural Gas6.844↑ Sell
 US Coffee C225.55↑ Buy
 Euro Stoxx 503,279.04↑ Buy
 S&P 5003,640.47Neutral
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 FTSE 1006,881.59↑ Buy
 Hang Seng17,150.00↑ Sell
 Small Cap 20001,671.71Buy
 IBEX 357,300.10Buy
 BASF38.850↑ Sell
 Bayer47.72↑ Sell
 Allianz159.62↑ Buy
 Adidas124.02↑ Sell
 Lufthansa5.817↑ Buy
 Siemens AG98.26Neutral
 Deutsche Bank AG7.594Sell
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